Football · England Southern Premier League South · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Yate Town vs Sholing

Team pages: Yate Town · Sholing

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Yate Town1.27

Sholing1.39

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Yate Town Draw Sholing

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Yate Town 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWLDLL

Sholing 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWLWDL

Head-to-head

Yate Town 0–2–1 Sholing (3 last)

Yate Town0-0Sholing
Sholing2-0Yate Town
Yate Town0-0Sholing

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yate Town 1459 · Sholing 1536

	Yate Town	Draw	Sholing
Our model	33%	28%	38%
Market	35%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sholing (rating 1459 vs 1536).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yate Town	Sholing
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.4	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	– / –	0.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	//%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	2.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:18 +20’	2.60	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yate Town 0–2–1 Sholing

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 England FA Trophy	Yate Town	0-0	Sholing
10/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Sholing	2-0	Yate Town
09/08/25 England Southern Premier League South	Yate Town	0-0	Sholing

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26	12	23
3	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
4	Hanworth Villa	12	7	2	3	24	14	23
5	Bath City	12	7	2	3	18	10	23
6	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
7	Chichester City	12	6	1	5	20	20	19
8	Gosport Borough	12	5	3	4	19	14	18
9	Chertsey Town	11	4	4	3	23	18	16
10	Taunton Town	11	5	1	5	28	25	16
11	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
12	Wimborne Town	10	4	3	3	17	9	15
13	Bracknell Town	12	4	2	6	13	23	14
14	Evesham United	12	4	1	7	15	24	13
15	Basingstoke	12	3	3	6	19	25	12
16	Yate Town	11	3	3	5	15	24	12
17	Sholing	10	3	2	5	12	16	11
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	12	3	2	7	19	31	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	12	2	3	7	18	25	9
22	Chippenham Town	11	2	2	7	10	24	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yate Town	Sholing
Berkhamsted	0-3 L	2-0 W
Frome Town	3-3 D	1-1 D
Poole Town	1-2 L	1-0 W
Bracknell Town	2-1 W	1-3 L
Chertsey Town	1-1 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yate Town

DDWLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
10/10	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
03/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
29/09	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-4	–	–	L
12/09	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D

Sholing

LWDLLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-3	3	4	L
10/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yate Town vs Sholing?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sholing win (39%). Probabilities: Yate Town 34%, draw 27%, Sholing 39%.

How many goals are expected in Yate Town vs Sholing?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Yate Town 1.27 · Sholing 1.39), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Yate Town vs Sholing?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.