Football · England Southern Premier League South · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Hanwell Town vs Chertsey Town

Team pages: Hanwell Town · Chertsey Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Hanwell Town1.54

Chertsey Town1.5

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Hanwell Town Draw Chertsey Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hanwell Town 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDLLLDDW

Chertsey Town 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLWDLD

Head-to-head

Hanwell Town 1–1–4 Chertsey Town (6 last)

Chertsey Town2-1Hanwell Town
Hanwell Town1-2Chertsey Town
Chertsey Town0-2Hanwell Town
Hanwell Town1-2Chertsey Town
Hanwell Town0-2Chertsey Town
Chertsey Town1-1Hanwell Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hanwell Town 1490 · Chertsey Town 1549

	Hanwell Town	Draw	Chertsey Town
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chertsey Town (rating 1490 vs 1549).
H2H favours Chertsey Town: 4-1-1.
High corners: 15 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hanwell Town	Chertsey Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	2.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7	3 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 1	7 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +21’	2.35	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hanwell Town 1–1–4 Chertsey Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Chertsey Town	2-1 HT 1-1	Hanwell Town
09/09/25 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	1-2 HT 0-0	Chertsey Town
21/04/25 England Southern Premier League South	Chertsey Town	0-2	Hanwell Town
26/12/24 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	1-2	Chertsey Town
14/09/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Hanwell Town	0-2	Chertsey Town
01/05/22 England Isthmian Division One South	Chertsey Town	1-1 HT 0-1	Hanwell Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
2	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
3	Plymouth Parkway	10	6	2	2	24	11	20
4	Hanworth Villa	10	6	1	3	18	11	19
5	Bath City	10	5	2	3	14	10	17
6	Frome Town	11	4	4	3	18	14	16
7	Chichester City	10	5	1	4	17	17	16
8	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
9	Wimborne Town	9	4	3	2	16	7	15
10	Chertsey Town	10	4	3	3	22	17	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24	24	13
13	Evesham United	10	4	1	5	14	18	13
14	Basingstoke	10	3	3	4	18	17	12
15	Yate Town	10	3	3	4	13	21	12
16	Sholing	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
17	Bracknell Town	10	3	2	5	11	19	11
18	Hanwell Town	9	2	4	3	9	11	10
19	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
20	Chippenham Town	9	2	2	5	9	18	8
21	Havant and W	10	1	2	7	12	22	5
22	Malvern Town	10	1	2	7	14	29	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hanwell Town	Chertsey Town
Frome Town	2-2 D	1-2 L
Berkhamsted	0-1 L	4-1 W
Chichester City	0-2 L	2-2 D
Gloucester	0-1 L	1-0 W
Sholing	0-0 D	4-2 W
Malvern Town	2-2 D	5-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chertsey Town (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hanwell Town

WDWDLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
22/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W

Chertsey Town

WWDWLLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/09	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/09	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
12/09	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	5-0	–	–	W
31/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-2	9	13	L
22/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	4-2	–	–	W
15/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
08/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hanwell Town vs Chertsey Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hanwell Town win (38%). Probabilities: Hanwell Town 38%, draw 26%, Chertsey Town 36%.

How many goals are expected in Hanwell Town vs Chertsey Town?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Hanwell Town 1.54 · Chertsey Town 1.5), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hanwell Town vs Chertsey Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.