Football · England Southern Premier League South · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Bracknell Town vs Gosport Borough

Team pages: Bracknell Town · Gosport Borough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Bracknell Town1.44

Gosport Borough1.4

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Bracknell Town Draw Gosport Borough

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bracknell Town 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Gosport Borough 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bracknell Town 2–1–3 Gosport Borough (6 last)

Gosport Borough1-1Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town0-2Gosport Borough
Gosport Borough6-1Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town4-0Gosport Borough
Gosport Borough4-3Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town4-3Gosport Borough

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bracknell Town 1457 · Gosport Borough 1516

	Bracknell Town	Draw	Gosport Borough
Our model	37%	27%	35%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gosport Borough (rating 1457 vs 1516).
H2H favours Gosport Borough: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bracknell Town	Gosport Borough
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	25/75/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 7	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:24 +7’	2.35	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bracknell Town 2–1–3 Gosport Borough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/09/26 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	1-1 HT 0-0	Bracknell Town
14/03/26 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	0-2	Gosport Borough
22/10/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	6-1 HT 2-1	Bracknell Town
22/03/25 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	4-0	Gosport Borough
08/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	4-3 HT 2-2	Bracknell Town
20/01/24 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	4-3 HT 1-0	Gosport Borough

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Uxbridge	11	8	2	1	23	8	26
3	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	7	3	3	25	15	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	7	2	3	26	14	23
6	Chichester City	13	7	1	5	23	21	22
7	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	5	4	3	25	18	19
9	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	5	3	3	20	9	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	5	3	5	19	17	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	5	1	6	15	17	16
13	Basingstoke	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	4	2	7	13	27	14
15	Yate Town	12	3	4	5	16	25	13
16	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	13
17	Sholing	11	3	3	5	13	17	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	13	2	3	8	18	26	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bracknell Town	Gosport Borough
Taunton Town	0-4 L	3-1 W
Poole Town	0-1 L	1-3 L
Wimborne Town	0-2 L	0-3 L
Basingstoke	1-2 L	4-0 W
Sholing	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bracknell Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bracknell Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-4	–	–	L
17/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-4	5	8	L
10/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
19/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Gosport Borough

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	3-0	4-0	3	6	W
10/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
07/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-3	3	1	L
30/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
19/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	4-2	7	1	W
22/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bracknell Town vs Gosport Borough?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bracknell Town win (38%). Probabilities: Bracknell Town 38%, draw 26%, Gosport Borough 36%.

How many goals are expected in Bracknell Town vs Gosport Borough?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Bracknell Town 1.44 · Gosport Borough 1.4), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bracknell Town vs Gosport Borough?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.