Football · England Southern Premier League South · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Gosport Borough vs Hanwell Town

Team pages: Gosport Borough · Hanwell Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Gosport Borough1.56

Hanwell Town1.16

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Gosport Borough Draw Hanwell Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Gosport Borough 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDLWWL

Hanwell Town 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDDWDL

Head-to-head

Gosport Borough 3–2–1 Hanwell Town (6 last)

Hanwell Town2-1Gosport Borough
Gosport Borough2-1Hanwell Town
Gosport Borough3-0Hanwell Town
Hanwell Town0-0Gosport Borough
Hanwell Town0-0Gosport Borough
Gosport Borough3-2Hanwell Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gosport Borough 1516 · Hanwell Town 1472

	Gosport Borough	Draw	Hanwell Town
Our model	45%	27%	27%
Market	47%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gosport Borough (rating 1516 vs 1472).
H2H favours Gosport Borough: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gosport Borough	Hanwell Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/75/0%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.5	4 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	4.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:37 +6’	1.90	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gosport Borough 3–2–1 Hanwell Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	2-1	Gosport Borough
10/12/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	2-1	Hanwell Town
12/04/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	3-0 HT 2-0	Hanwell Town
14/12/24 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Gosport Borough
06/04/24 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Gosport Borough
29/11/23 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	3-2	Hanwell Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Uxbridge	11	8	2	1	23	8	26
3	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	7	3	3	25	15	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	7	2	3	26	14	23
6	Chichester City	13	7	1	5	23	21	22
7	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	5	4	3	25	18	19
9	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	5	3	3	20	9	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	5	3	5	19	17	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	5	1	6	15	17	16
13	Basingstoke	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	4	2	7	13	27	14
15	Yate Town	12	3	4	5	16	25	13
16	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	13
17	Sholing	11	3	3	5	13	17	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	13	2	3	8	18	26	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gosport Borough	Hanwell Town
Basingstoke	4-0 W	2-1 W
Bath City	2-1 W	0-2 L
Taunton Town	3-1 W	2-1 W
Sholing	0-1 L	0-0 D
Frome Town	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gosport Borough (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gosport Borough

WWLWDDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	3-0	4-0	3	6	W
10/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
07/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-3	3	1	L
30/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
19/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	4-2	7	1	W
22/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W

Hanwell Town

WDLLLDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-2	6	3	L
13/10	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	10	6	D
10/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
22/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gosport Borough vs Hanwell Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gosport Borough win (46%). Probabilities: Gosport Borough 46%, draw 26%, Hanwell Town 28%.

How many goals are expected in Gosport Borough vs Hanwell Town?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Gosport Borough 1.56 · Hanwell Town 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gosport Borough vs Hanwell Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.