Football · England Southern Premier League South · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Yate Town vs Wimborne Town

Team pages: Yate Town · Wimborne Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Yate Town1.14

Wimborne Town1.51

1X2

28% 26% 45%

Yate Town Draw Wimborne Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Yate Town 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLDLLD

Wimborne Town 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWWWLW

Head-to-head

Yate Town 1–2–3 Wimborne Town (6 last)

Wimborne Town4-0Yate Town
Yate Town1-1Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town4-1Yate Town
Yate Town0-2Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town0-5Yate Town
Yate Town0-0Wimborne Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yate Town 1465 · Wimborne Town 1599

	Yate Town	Draw	Wimborne Town
Our model	27%	28%	45%
Market	29%	25%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wimborne Town (rating 1465 vs 1599).
H2H favours Wimborne Town: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yate Town	Wimborne Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.4	2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 7	3.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.60

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:08 +4’	3.10	3.60	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yate Town 1–2–3 Wimborne Town

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	4-0	Yate Town
07/03/26 England Southern Premier League South	Yate Town	1-1	Wimborne Town
14/10/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	4-1 HT 2-1	Yate Town
17/02/24 England Southern League Division One	Yate Town	0-2 HT 0-2	Wimborne Town
08/03/22 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	0-5 HT 0-2	Yate Town
17/08/21 England Southern Premier League South	Yate Town	0-0	Wimborne Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Uxbridge	11	8	2	1	23	8	26
3	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	7	3	3	25	15	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	7	2	3	26	14	23
6	Chichester City	13	7	1	5	23	21	22
7	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	5	4	3	25	18	19
9	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	5	3	3	20	9	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	5	3	5	19	17	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	5	1	6	15	17	16
13	Basingstoke	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	4	2	7	13	27	14
15	Yate Town	12	3	4	5	16	25	13
16	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	13
17	Sholing	11	3	3	5	13	17	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	13	2	3	8	18	26	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yate Town	Wimborne Town
Malvern Town	2-3 L	3-0 W
Hanworth Villa	3-2 W	0-0 D
Bracknell Town	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Wimborne Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yate Town

DWLLWLDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
13/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
10/10	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
03/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
29/09	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-4	–	–	L
12/09	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D

Wimborne Town

LDWDDWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
13/10	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
10/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	6-3	–	–	W
29/09	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
29/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yate Town vs Wimborne Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wimborne Town win (45%). Probabilities: Yate Town 28%, draw 26%, Wimborne Town 45%.

How many goals are expected in Yate Town vs Wimborne Town?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Yate Town 1.14 · Wimborne Town 1.51), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Yate Town vs Wimborne Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.