Football · England Southern Premier League South · 07/11, 16:00
Prediction: Chichester City vs Bath City
Team pages: Chichester City · Bath City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Chichester City1.16
Bath City1.48
1X2
Chichester City
Draw
Bath City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chichester City
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Bath City
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chichester City 1562 · Bath City 1569
| Chichester City | Draw | Bath City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | 30% | 25% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chichester City | Bath City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/17/50% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.7 | 3 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 32 |
| 2 | Poole Town | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 31 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Plymouth Parkway | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Bath City | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 29 |
| 6 | Chertsey Town | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 26 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 25 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 24 |
| 9 | Wimborne Town | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Taunton Town | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 19 |
| 11 | Frome Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
| 13 | Sholing | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
| 14 | Evesham United | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 16 |
| 15 | Basingstoke | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 31 | 15 |
| 16 | Hanwell Town | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 14 |
| 17 | Yate Town | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 14 |
| 18 | Bracknell Town | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 14 |
| 19 | Havant and W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 12 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 12 |
| 21 | Gloucester | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 11 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 11 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chichester City | Bath City |
|---|---|---|
| Frome Town | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Uxbridge | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Havant and W | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chichester City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/10 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 20/10 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/10 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/09 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/09 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 31/08 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Bath City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/10 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 17/10 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/10 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/09 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/09 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chichester City vs Bath City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bath City win (44%). Probabilities: Chichester City 29%, draw 26%, Bath City 44%.
How many goals are expected in Chichester City vs Bath City?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Chichester City 1.16 · Bath City 1.48), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chichester City vs Bath City?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.