Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Carshalton Ath vs Dartford

Team pages: Carshalton Ath · Dartford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Carshalton Ath1.51

Dartford1.41

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Carshalton Ath Draw Dartford

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Carshalton Ath 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Dartford 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Carshalton Ath 1–1–3 Dartford (5 last)

Carshalton Ath2-2Dartford
Dartford4-1Carshalton Ath
Dartford1-4Carshalton Ath
Carshalton Ath0-1Dartford
Carshalton Ath1-3Dartford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carshalton Ath 1532 · Dartford 1557

	Carshalton Ath	Draw	Dartford
Our model	39%	27%	34%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dartford: 3-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carshalton Ath	Dartford
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/0/33%	25/75/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	2.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.40

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:12 +2’	2.30	3.40	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Carshalton Ath 1–1–3 Dartford

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	2-2 HT 1-0	Dartford
23/08/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dartford	4-1	Carshalton Ath
26/04/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dartford	1-4	Carshalton Ath
24/08/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	0-1	Dartford
20/07/21 Club Friendly List	Carshalton Ath	1-3 HT 0-3	Dartford

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	6	5	0	1	20	7	15
2	Carshalton Ath	6	5	0	1	12	5	15
3	Lewes	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
4	Welling	6	4	0	2	12	8	12
5	Dartford	6	4	0	2	8	8	12
6	Dulwich	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	Aveley	6	3	1	2	12	8	10
8	Leatherhead	6	3	1	2	12	11	10
9	St Albans	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
10	Ramsgate	6	3	0	3	15	8	9
11	Chatham Town	6	3	0	3	12	9	9
12	Burgess Hill Town	6	2	3	1	9	7	9
13	Cray Wanderers	5	2	2	1	8	5	8
14	Wingate & Finchley	6	2	2	2	8	11	8
15	Eastbourne Borough	6	2	1	3	9	10	7
16	Maldon Tiptree FC	4	2	0	2	6	9	6
17	Cheshunt	6	0	5	1	4	6	5
18	Three Bridges	6	1	1	4	11	18	4
19	Brentwood Town	5	1	0	4	5	9	3
20	Whitehawk	6	0	2	4	4	14	2
21	AFC Whyteleafe	6	0	2	4	6	17	2
22	Stanway Rovers	6	0	1	5	3	15	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carshalton Ath	Dartford
Three Bridges	2-3 L	3-2 W
Brentwood Town	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carshalton Ath

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	8	5	W
22/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
08/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
25/04	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/04	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-4	–	–	L
06/04	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	1-2	2	2	L

Dartford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
28/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
22/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
08/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/04	Cray Valley Paper Mills England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
18/04	Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-2	6	2	D
11/04	Canvey Island England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
06/04	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carshalton Ath vs Dartford?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carshalton Ath win (39%). Probabilities: Carshalton Ath 39%, draw 27%, Dartford 34%.

How many goals are expected in Carshalton Ath vs Dartford?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Carshalton Ath 1.51 · Dartford 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Carshalton Ath vs Dartford?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.