Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Dulwich vs Brentwood Town

Team pages: Dulwich · Brentwood Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Dulwich1.79

Brentwood Town1.34

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Dulwich Draw Brentwood Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dulwich 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Brentwood Town 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWLLLL

Head-to-head

Dulwich 5–1 Brentwood Town (6 last)

Brentwood Town0-2Dulwich
Dulwich1-2Brentwood Town
Brentwood Town1-2Dulwich
Brentwood Town0-1Dulwich
Brentwood Town1-2Dulwich
Dulwich4-0Brentwood Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dulwich 1554 · Brentwood Town 1499

	Dulwich	Draw	Brentwood Town
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dulwich (rating 1554 vs 1499).
H2H favours Dulwich: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dulwich	Brentwood Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.8	3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:08 +5’	1.91	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dulwich 5–0–1 Brentwood Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Brentwood Town	0-2 HT 0-0	Dulwich
27/09/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	1-2 HT 1-1	Brentwood Town
27/11/21 England FA Trophy	Brentwood Town	1-2	Dulwich
08/03/18 England Isthmian Cup	Brentwood Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Dulwich
12/04/16 England Isthmian Premier Division	Brentwood Town	1-2	Dulwich
17/10/15 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	4-0	Brentwood Town

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	6	5	0	1	20	7	15
2	Carshalton Ath	6	5	0	1	12	5	15
3	Lewes	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
4	Welling	6	4	0	2	12	8	12
5	Dartford	6	4	0	2	8	8	12
6	Dulwich	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	Aveley	6	3	1	2	12	8	10
8	Leatherhead	6	3	1	2	12	11	10
9	St Albans	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
10	Ramsgate	6	3	0	3	15	8	9
11	Chatham Town	6	3	0	3	12	9	9
12	Burgess Hill Town	6	2	3	1	9	7	9
13	Cray Wanderers	5	2	2	1	8	5	8
14	Wingate & Finchley	6	2	2	2	8	11	8
15	Eastbourne Borough	6	2	1	3	9	10	7
16	Maldon Tiptree FC	4	2	0	2	6	9	6
17	Cheshunt	6	0	5	1	4	6	5
18	Three Bridges	6	1	1	4	11	18	4
19	Brentwood Town	5	1	0	4	5	9	3
20	Whitehawk	6	0	2	4	4	14	2
21	AFC Whyteleafe	6	0	2	4	6	17	2
22	Stanway Rovers	6	0	1	5	3	15	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dulwich	Brentwood Town
Cheshunt	2-0 W	1-0 W
Burgess Hill Town	2-0 W	2-0 W
Carshalton Ath	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dulwich (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dulwich

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
22/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
08/08	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	6-0	–	–	W
25/04	Hashtag United England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/04	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/04	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
06/04	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	2-1	4	2	W

Brentwood Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
22/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
08/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
04/05	Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
29/04	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	4-1	6	4	W
25/04	Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-2	9	1	D
18/04	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
11/04	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dulwich vs Brentwood Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dulwich win (47%). Probabilities: Dulwich 47%, draw 25%, Brentwood Town 28%.

How many goals are expected in Dulwich vs Brentwood Town?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Dulwich 1.79 · Brentwood Town 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dulwich vs Brentwood Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.