Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Cheshunt vs Lewes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Cheshunt1.17
Lewes1.38
1X2
Cheshunt
Draw
Lewes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cheshunt
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Lewes
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cheshunt
1–2–3
Lewes
(6 last)
- Cheshunt0-0Lewes
- Lewes2-1Cheshunt
- Cheshunt1-2Lewes
- Lewes2-2Cheshunt
- Cheshunt4-0Lewes
- Lewes2-1Cheshunt
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cheshunt 1431 · Lewes 1523
| Cheshunt | Draw | Lewes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lewes (rating 1431 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Lewes: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cheshunt | Lewes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.5 | 0 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.5 | 1 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 0.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheshunt 1–2–3 Lewes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Cheshunt | 0-0 | Lewes |
| 28/10/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Lewes | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Cheshunt |
| 12/04/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Cheshunt | 1-2 | Lewes |
| 04/01/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Lewes | 2-2 | Cheshunt |
| 06/04/24 England Ryman Premier Division | Cheshunt | 4-0 | Lewes |
| 16/12/23 England Isthmian Premier Division | Lewes | 2-1 | Cheshunt |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Welling | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Dartford | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Lewes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Carshalton Ath | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | St Albans | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | Leatherhead | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| 8 | Ramsgate | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Dulwich | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Eastbourne Borough | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | Chatham Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 12 |
| 12 | Wingate & Finchley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 11 |
| 13 | Aveley | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 17 | AFC Whyteleafe | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 5 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 5 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 4 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
| 22 | Brentwood Town | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cheshunt | Lewes |
|---|---|---|
| Eastbourne Borough | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| St Albans | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| AFC Whyteleafe | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lewes (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cheshunt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/08 | St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Lewes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/08 | Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cheshunt vs Lewes?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lewes win (42%). Probabilities: Cheshunt 32%, draw 27%, Lewes 42%.
How many goals are expected in Cheshunt vs Lewes?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Cheshunt 1.17 · Lewes 1.38), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cheshunt vs Lewes?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.