Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 15/09, 20:45

Prediction: Cray Wanderers vs St Albans

Team pages: Cray Wanderers · St Albans

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Cray Wanderers1.49

St Albans1.67

1X2

33% 25% 41%

Cray Wanderers Draw St Albans

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cray Wanderers 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLDDLWWL

St Albans 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLWDW

Head-to-head

Cray Wanderers 1–1–1 St Albans (3 last)

St Albans2-3Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers1-1St Albans
St Albans3-0Cray Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cray Wanderers 1526 · St Albans 1529

	Cray Wanderers	Draw	St Albans
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cray Wanderers	St Albans
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	1.5 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	7.5 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +2’	2.70	3.60	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cray Wanderers 1–1–1 St Albans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	St Albans	2-3 HT 0-3	Cray Wanderers
21/10/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	1-1	St Albans
15/12/20 England FA Trophy	St Albans	3-0 HT 0-0	Cray Wanderers

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	7	6	0	1	23	9	18
2	Welling	7	5	0	2	16	9	15
3	Carshalton Ath	7	5	0	2	12	8	15
4	Dartford	7	5	0	2	11	8	15
5	Dulwich	7	4	1	2	16	9	13
6	St Albans	7	4	1	2	14	10	13
7	Leatherhead	7	4	1	2	14	12	13
8	Lewes	7	4	1	2	10	8	13
9	Chatham Town	7	4	0	3	15	11	12
10	Ramsgate	7	3	1	3	17	10	10
11	Aveley	7	3	1	3	13	10	10
12	Eastbourne Borough	7	3	1	3	12	10	10
13	Burgess Hill Town	7	2	4	1	11	9	10
14	Maldon Tiptree FC	5	3	0	2	9	11	9
15	Cray Wanderers	6	2	2	2	10	8	8
16	Wingate & Finchley	7	2	2	3	9	15	8
17	Cheshunt	7	0	5	2	4	9	5
18	AFC Whyteleafe	7	1	2	4	10	17	5
19	Three Bridges	7	1	1	5	11	22	4
20	Brentwood Town	6	1	0	5	6	11	3
21	Whitehawk	7	0	2	5	6	17	2
22	Stanway Rovers	7	0	1	6	3	19	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cray Wanderers	St Albans
Enfield Town	2-3 L	2-1 W
Carshalton Ath	1-2 L	0-1 L
Cheshunt	0-0 D	1-1 D
Lewes	3-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cray Wanderers

WWLLDDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
08/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-4	–	–	L
18/04	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/04	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
06/04	Cray Valley Paper Mills England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	8	6	W

St Albans

LWLWWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
31/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
29/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
15/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-1	9	11	W
08/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
25/04	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/04	Canvey Island England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
11/04	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cray Wanderers vs St Albans?

According to our model, the most likely result is an St Albans win (41%). Probabilities: Cray Wanderers 33%, draw 25%, St Albans 41%.

How many goals are expected in Cray Wanderers vs St Albans?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Cray Wanderers 1.49 · St Albans 1.67), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cray Wanderers vs St Albans?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.