Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Burgess Hill Town vs Enfield Town

Team pages: Burgess Hill Town · Enfield Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

Burgess Hill Town1.75

Enfield Town2.3

1X2

28% 23% 49%

Burgess Hill Town Draw Enfield Town

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Burgess Hill Town 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Enfield Town 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Burgess Hill Town 1–5 Enfield Town (6 last)

Enfield Town3-1Burgess Hill Town
Enfield Town4-1Burgess Hill Town
Burgess Hill Town1-6Enfield Town
Burgess Hill Town2-4Enfield Town
Enfield Town3-2Burgess Hill Town
Enfield Town0-1Burgess Hill Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burgess Hill Town 1534 · Enfield Town 1600

	Burgess Hill Town	Draw	Enfield Town
Our model	29%	21%	50%
Market	28%	23%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enfield Town (rating 1534 vs 1600).
H2H favours Enfield Town: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Burgess Hill Town	Enfield Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.7	3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	1.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	71/14/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 3.8	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.80

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:22 +11’	3.20	3.80	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgess Hill Town 1–0–5 Enfield Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/02/19 England Isthmian Premier Division	Enfield Town	3-1	Burgess Hill Town
15/01/19 England Isthmian Cup	Enfield Town	4-1 HT 1-0	Burgess Hill Town
25/08/18 England Isthmian Premier Division	Burgess Hill Town	1-6	Enfield Town
10/04/18 England Isthmian Premier Division	Burgess Hill Town	2-4 HT 1-2	Enfield Town
13/02/18 England Isthmian Premier Division	Enfield Town	3-2 HT 3-0	Burgess Hill Town
28/01/17 England Isthmian Premier Division	Enfield Town	0-1	Burgess Hill Town

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	13	10	1	2	37	16	31
2	Welling	14	10	0	4	27	15	30
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Eastbourne Borough	12	8	1	3	23	12	25
5	Dartford	13	8	0	5	19	17	24
6	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	29	17	22
7	Carshalton Ath	15	7	1	7	23	28	22
8	Chatham Town	13	7	0	6	26	20	21
9	Dulwich	14	6	3	5	23	22	21
10	St Albans	10	6	2	2	21	14	20
11	Burgess Hill Town	13	5	5	3	24	20	20
12	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24	23	20
13	Brentwood Town	12	5	0	7	22	21	15
14	Leatherhead	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
15	AFC Whyteleafe	14	4	3	7	22	25	15
16	Cheshunt	14	3	6	5	14	22	15
17	Aveley	13	4	2	7	20	21	14
18	Maldon Tiptree FC	16	4	2	10	20	38	14
19	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	23	36	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	2	1	10	12	32	7
22	Whitehawk	14	1	3	10	13	34	6

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Burgess Hill Town	Enfield Town
Dulwich	2-0 W	3-0 W
Whitehawk	1-1 D	5-1 W
Dartford	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Enfield Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Burgess Hill Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
21/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	2-2	3-2	5	3	W
17/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-4	3	6	L
13/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
10/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
26/09	Winslow Utd England Isthmian Premier Division	–	6-2	–	–	W
12/09	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	8	W

Enfield Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	6	5	W
17/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
12/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
06/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
26/09	Hanwell Town England FA Trophy	–	4-2	–	–	W
15/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
12/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	4-1	5	1	W
29/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	3-1	5-1	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burgess Hill Town vs Enfield Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Enfield Town win (49%). Probabilities: Burgess Hill Town 28%, draw 23%, Enfield Town 49%.

How many goals are expected in Burgess Hill Town vs Enfield Town?

The model expects 4.05 goals (Burgess Hill Town 1.75 · Enfield Town 2.3), with a 61% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Burgess Hill Town vs Enfield Town?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.