Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Three Bridges vs Brentwood Town

Team pages: Three Bridges · Brentwood Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

Three Bridges1.86

Brentwood Town2.15

1X2

33% 23% 44%

Three Bridges Draw Brentwood Town

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Three Bridges 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWLDLL

Brentwood Town 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWWLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Three Bridges 1462 · Brentwood Town 1475

	Three Bridges	Draw	Brentwood Town
Our model	33%	22%	45%
Market	33%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Three Bridges	Brentwood Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.5	1.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	0.8 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7	3.6 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.75

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:03 +11’	2.75	3.75	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	14	10	1	3	26	12	31
4	Lewes	15	8	3	4	23	18	27
5	Dartford	15	9	0	6	24	22	27
6	St Albans	12	7	2	3	24	16	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	14	6	4	4	27	26	22
9	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
10	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
11	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
12	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
13	Burgess Hill Town	15	5	6	4	25	27	21
14	Aveley	15	6	2	7	25	24	20
15	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
16	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	14	5	0	9	24	27	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	15	2	1	12	14	40	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Three Bridges	Brentwood Town
Maldon Tiptree FC	1-3 L	5-1 W
Stanway Rovers	3-1 W	2-3 L
Leatherhead	3-3 D	1-2 L
Carshalton Ath	3-2 W	0-2 L
Dulwich	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Three Bridges (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Three Bridges

DWLLDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
20/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
13/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
15/09	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-2	7	2	D

Brentwood Town

LLLWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-2	8	3	L
31/10	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
27/10	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-2	–	–	W
20/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
10/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
22/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	5-1	10	2	W
15/09	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-3	2-3	9	2	L
12/09	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Three Bridges vs Brentwood Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brentwood Town win (44%). Probabilities: Three Bridges 33%, draw 23%, Brentwood Town 44%.

How many goals are expected in Three Bridges vs Brentwood Town?

The model expects 4.01 goals (Three Bridges 1.86 · Brentwood Town 2.15), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Three Bridges vs Brentwood Town?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.