Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: St Albans vs Welling

Team pages: St Albans · Welling

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

St Albans1.73

Welling1.31

1X2

47% 25% 28%

St Albans Draw Welling

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

St Albans 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDWWWL

Welling 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

St Albans 1–4–1 Welling (6 last)

Welling0-0St Albans
St Albans2-1Welling
Welling1-1St Albans
St Albans0-1Welling
St Albans1-1Welling
Welling0-0St Albans

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St Albans 1548 · Welling 1537

	St Albans	Draw	Welling
Our model	46%	26%	28%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Albans	Welling
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	4.8 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.70

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:08 +8’	1.90	3.70	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · St Albans 1–4–1 Welling

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Welling	0-0 HT 0-0	St Albans
18/10/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	St Albans	2-1 HT 1-0	Welling
08/02/25 England National League South	Welling	1-1 HT 0-0	St Albans
19/10/24 England National League South	St Albans	0-1 HT 0-1	Welling
24/02/24 England National League South	St Albans	1-1 HT 1-1	Welling
02/09/23 England National League South	Welling	0-0 HT 0-0	St Albans

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	14	10	1	3	26	12	31
4	Lewes	15	8	3	4	23	18	27
5	Dartford	15	9	0	6	24	22	27
6	St Albans	12	7	2	3	24	16	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	14	6	4	4	27	26	22
9	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
10	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
11	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
12	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
13	Burgess Hill Town	15	5	6	4	25	27	21
14	Aveley	15	6	2	7	25	24	20
15	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
16	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	14	5	0	9	24	27	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	15	2	1	12	14	40	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Albans	Welling
Burgess Hill Town	3-1 W	4-2 W
Carshalton Ath	1-0 W	4-0 W
Cray Wanderers	3-3 D	1-4 L
Cheshunt	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Welling (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Albans

LLWDWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
31/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
27/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	3-3	6	3	D
12/09	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
31/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
29/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
15/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L

Welling

LWWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	9	3	W
27/10	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
24/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
17/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	4-2	6	6	W
10/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	4-1	10	2	W
31/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Albans vs Welling?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Albans win (47%). Probabilities: St Albans 47%, draw 25%, Welling 28%.

How many goals are expected in St Albans vs Welling?

The model expects 3.05 goals (St Albans 1.73 · Welling 1.31), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in St Albans vs Welling?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.