Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk

Team pages: Stanway Rovers · Whitehawk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Stanway Rovers1.86

Whitehawk1.49

1X2

45% 25% 30%

Stanway Rovers Draw Whitehawk

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Stanway Rovers 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Whitehawk 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stanway Rovers 1410 · Whitehawk 1429

	Stanway Rovers	Draw	Whitehawk
Our model	45%	24%	30%
Market	45%	25%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stanway Rovers	Whitehawk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.7	1.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 1	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 6	0.8 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.5	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
09:53 +20’	2.00	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	14	10	1	3	26	12	31
4	Lewes	15	8	3	4	23	18	27
5	Dartford	15	9	0	6	24	22	27
6	St Albans	12	7	2	3	24	16	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	14	6	4	4	27	26	22
9	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
10	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
11	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
12	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
13	Burgess Hill Town	15	5	6	4	25	27	21
14	Aveley	15	6	2	7	25	24	20
15	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
16	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	14	5	0	9	24	27	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	15	2	1	12	14	40	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stanway Rovers	Whitehawk
Cheshunt	3-0 W	1-1 D
Ramsgate	0-2 L	1-4 L
Three Bridges	1-3 L	3-2 W
AFC Whyteleafe	0-4 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stanway Rovers (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stanway Rovers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/10	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-7	–	–	L
24/10	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
20/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
10/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
15/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	3-1	3-2	4	2	W
12/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L

Whitehawk

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
27/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
14/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-5	3	4	L
10/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
03/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
29/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
15/09	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stanway Rovers win (45%). Probabilities: Stanway Rovers 45%, draw 25%, Whitehawk 30%.

How many goals are expected in Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Stanway Rovers 1.86 · Whitehawk 1.49), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.