Football · England Southern Premier League South · 29/09, 20:30

Prediction: Wimborne Town vs Yate Town

Team pages: Wimborne Town · Yate Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Wimborne Town1.42

Yate Town1.11

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Wimborne Town Draw Yate Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Wimborne Town 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLLDWDDW

Yate Town 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDWLLW

Head-to-head

Wimborne Town 3–2–1 Yate Town (6 last)

Yate Town1-1Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town4-1Yate Town
Yate Town0-2Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town0-5Yate Town
Yate Town0-0Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town2-0Yate Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wimborne Town 1543 · Yate Town 1543

	Wimborne Town	Draw	Yate Town
Our model	43%	29%	28%
Market	45%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wimborne Town: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wimborne Town	Yate Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3	3.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.5 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:18 +35’	2.00	3.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wimborne Town 3–2–1 Yate Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 England Southern Premier League South	Yate Town	1-1	Wimborne Town
14/10/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	4-1 HT 2-1	Yate Town
17/02/24 England Southern League Division One	Yate Town	0-2 HT 0-2	Wimborne Town
08/03/22 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	0-5 HT 0-2	Yate Town
17/08/21 England Southern Premier League South	Yate Town	0-0	Wimborne Town
02/11/19 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	2-0	Yate Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plymouth Parkway	8	6	1	1	22	7	19
2	Uxbridge	8	5	2	1	17	7	17
3	Hanworth Villa	8	5	1	2	15	7	16
4	Chertsey Town	8	4	2	2	19	12	14
5	Bath City	8	4	2	2	11	7	14
6	Frome Town	8	4	1	3	12	8	13
7	Chichester City	8	4	1	3	13	14	13
8	Berkhamsted	9	4	1	4	11	12	13
9	Taunton Town	8	4	0	4	21	20	12
10	Poole Town	7	4	0	3	8	9	12
11	Gosport Borough	8	3	2	3	11	9	11
12	Yate Town	7	3	2	2	10	11	11
13	Evesham United	7	3	1	3	11	14	10
14	Bracknell Town	8	3	1	4	10	17	10
15	Wimborne Town	7	2	3	2	6	4	9
16	Basingstoke	8	2	3	3	13	14	9
17	Sholing	7	2	1	4	7	12	7
18	Chippenham Town	7	2	1	4	7	14	7
19	Hanwell Town	7	1	3	3	6	9	6
20	Gloucester	8	1	3	4	11	16	6
21	Malvern Town	8	1	2	5	12	23	5
22	Havant and W	8	1	1	6	8	15	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wimborne Town	Yate Town
Bracknell Town	2-0 W	2-1 W
Hanworth Villa	0-0 D	3-2 W
Gloucester	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Yate Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wimborne Town

WDDLLDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
29/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
18/04	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
14/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	6-0	–	–	W

Yate Town

WWWWDDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
11/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/04	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
18/04	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wimborne Town vs Yate Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wimborne Town win (44%). Probabilities: Wimborne Town 44%, draw 27%, Yate Town 29%.

How many goals are expected in Wimborne Town vs Yate Town?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Wimborne Town 1.42 · Yate Town 1.11), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wimborne Town vs Yate Town?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.