Football · England Southern Premier League South · 29/09, 20:45
Prediction: Sholing vs Berkhamsted
Team pages: Sholing · Berkhamsted
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Sholing1.36
Berkhamsted1.25
1X2
Sholing
Draw
Berkhamsted
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sholing
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Berkhamsted
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sholing
0–2–0
Berkhamsted
(2 last)
- Sholing1-1Berkhamsted
- Berkhamsted1-1Sholing
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sholing 1506 · Berkhamsted 1533
| Sholing | Draw | Berkhamsted | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sholing | Berkhamsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 2 | 1.8 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sholing 0–2–0 Berkhamsted
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 England Southern Premier League South | Sholing | 1-1 | Berkhamsted |
| 15/11/25 England Southern Premier League South | Berkhamsted | 1-1 | Sholing |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Chertsey Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 14 |
| 5 | Bath City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 12 |
| 10 | Poole Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Yate Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Evesham United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 15 | Wimborne Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 | Basingstoke | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 17 | Sholing | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 19 | Hanwell Town | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 6 |
| 21 | Malvern Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 5 |
| 22 | Havant and W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sholing | Berkhamsted |
|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 2-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Hanwell Town | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Poole Town | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Farnham | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sholing (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sholing
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/08 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Dorchester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Berkhamsted
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sholing vs Berkhamsted?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sholing win (39%). Probabilities: Sholing 39%, draw 27%, Berkhamsted 34%.
How many goals are expected in Sholing vs Berkhamsted?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Sholing 1.36 · Berkhamsted 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sholing vs Berkhamsted?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.