Football · England Southern Premier League South · 29/09, 20:45
Prediction: Uxbridge vs Basingstoke
Team pages: Uxbridge · Basingstoke
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Uxbridge1.87
Basingstoke1.19
1X2
Uxbridge
Draw
Basingstoke
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Uxbridge
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Basingstoke
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Uxbridge
1–1–0
Basingstoke
(2 last)
- Basingstoke1-1Uxbridge
- Uxbridge2-1Basingstoke
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Uxbridge 1592 · Basingstoke 1465
| Uxbridge | Draw | Basingstoke | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uxbridge (rating 1592 vs 1465).
- High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Uxbridge | Basingstoke | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/43/29% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 5 / 9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Uxbridge 1–1–0 Basingstoke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 England Southern Premier League South | Basingstoke | 1-1 | Uxbridge |
| 11/10/25 England Southern Premier League South | Uxbridge | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Basingstoke |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Chertsey Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 14 |
| 5 | Bath City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 12 |
| 10 | Poole Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Yate Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Evesham United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 15 | Wimborne Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 | Basingstoke | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 17 | Sholing | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 19 | Hanwell Town | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 6 |
| 21 | Malvern Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 5 |
| 22 | Havant and W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Uxbridge | Basingstoke |
|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Taunton Town | 5-4 W | 3-4 L |
| Gosport Borough | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Poole Town | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Uxbridge (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Uxbridge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Chichester City England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 5-4 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Basingstoke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Uxbridge vs Basingstoke?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Uxbridge win (52%). Probabilities: Uxbridge 52%, draw 24%, Basingstoke 23%.
How many goals are expected in Uxbridge vs Basingstoke?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Uxbridge 1.87 · Basingstoke 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Uxbridge vs Basingstoke?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.