Football · England Southern Premier League South · 07/10, 20:45
Prediction: Gosport Borough vs Poole Town
Team pages: Gosport Borough · Poole Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Gosport Borough1.27
Poole Town1.42
1X2
Gosport Borough
Draw
Poole Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Gosport Borough
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Poole Town
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gosport Borough
4–1–1
Poole Town
(6 last)
- Gosport Borough1-0Poole Town
- Poole Town0-1Gosport Borough
- Gosport Borough0-3Poole Town
- Gosport Borough1-0Poole Town
- Poole Town1-3Gosport Borough
- Poole Town1-1Gosport Borough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gosport Borough 1512 · Poole Town 1529
| Gosport Borough | Draw | Poole Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gosport Borough: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gosport Borough | Poole Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 33/67/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4 | 3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gosport Borough 4–1–1 Poole Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Poole Town |
| 01/11/25 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 0-1 | Gosport Borough |
| 13/09/25 England FA Cup Qualification | Gosport Borough | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Poole Town |
| 08/02/25 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Poole Town |
| 02/11/24 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 1-3 | Gosport Borough |
| 05/10/24 England FA Trophy | Poole Town | 1-1 | Gosport Borough |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant and W | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gosport Borough | Poole Town |
|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Sholing | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Yate Town | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Plymouth Parkway | 3-6 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Poole Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gosport Borough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-6 | – | – | L |
Poole Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/09 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Chichester City England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gosport Borough vs Poole Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Poole Town win (40%). Probabilities: Gosport Borough 33%, draw 26%, Poole Town 40%.
How many goals are expected in Gosport Borough vs Poole Town?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Gosport Borough 1.27 · Poole Town 1.42), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gosport Borough vs Poole Town?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.