Football · England Southern Premier League South · 29/09, 20:45
Prediction: Havant and W vs Hanwell Town
Team pages: Havant and W · Hanwell Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Havant and W1.46
Hanwell Town1.31
1X2
Havant and W
Draw
Hanwell Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Havant and W
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Hanwell Town
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Havant and W
1–2–1
Hanwell Town
(4 last)
- Hanwell Town1-1Havant and W
- Havant and W2-3Hanwell Town
- Hanwell Town2-2Havant and W
- Havant and W5-2Hanwell Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Havant and W 1387 · Hanwell Town 1488
| Havant and W | Draw | Hanwell Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanwell Town (rating 1387 vs 1488).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Havant and W | Hanwell Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 3.3 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Havant and W 1–2–1 Hanwell Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 1-1 | Havant and W |
| 22/10/25 England Southern Premier League South | Havant and W | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Hanwell Town |
| 15/02/25 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 2-2 | Havant and W |
| 23/10/24 England Southern Premier League South | Havant and W | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Hanwell Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Chertsey Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 14 |
| 5 | Bath City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 12 |
| 10 | Poole Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Yate Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Evesham United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 15 | Wimborne Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 | Basingstoke | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 17 | Sholing | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 19 | Hanwell Town | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 6 |
| 21 | Malvern Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 5 |
| 22 | Havant and W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Havant and W | Hanwell Town |
|---|---|---|
| Chichester City | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Gloucester | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Plymouth Parkway | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Frome Town | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Berkhamsted | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Havant and W (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Havant and W
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Chichester City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Hanwell Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Chichester City England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Havant and W vs Hanwell Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Havant and W win (40%). Probabilities: Havant and W 40%, draw 27%, Hanwell Town 33%.
How many goals are expected in Havant and W vs Hanwell Town?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Havant and W 1.46 · Hanwell Town 1.31), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Havant and W vs Hanwell Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.