Football · England Southern Premier League South · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Plymouth Parkway vs Wimborne Town

Team pages: Plymouth Parkway · Wimborne Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Plymouth Parkway1.73

Wimborne Town1.34

1X2

46% 25% 29%

Plymouth Parkway Draw Wimborne Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Plymouth Parkway 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWDL

Wimborne Town 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLLDWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Plymouth Parkway 2–2 Wimborne Town (4 last)

Plymouth Parkway3-2Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town3-2Plymouth Parkway
Wimborne Town1-0Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth Parkway2-1Wimborne Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plymouth Parkway 1575 · Wimborne Town 1554

	Plymouth Parkway	Draw	Wimborne Town
Our model	46%	26%	29%
Market	46%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plymouth Parkway	Wimborne Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.1	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	100/0/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 1	2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:53 +11’	1.95	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Plymouth Parkway 2–0–2 Wimborne Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/03/26 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	3-2	Wimborne Town
23/09/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	3-2	Plymouth Parkway
22/03/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	1-0 HT 1-0	Plymouth Parkway
29/10/24 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	2-1 HT 0-1	Wimborne Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
2	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
3	Plymouth Parkway	10	6	2	2	24	11	20
4	Hanworth Villa	10	6	1	3	18	11	19
5	Bath City	10	5	2	3	14	10	17
6	Frome Town	11	4	4	3	18	14	16
7	Chichester City	10	5	1	4	17	17	16
8	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
9	Wimborne Town	9	4	3	2	16	7	15
10	Chertsey Town	10	4	3	3	22	17	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24	24	13
13	Evesham United	10	4	1	5	14	18	13
14	Basingstoke	10	3	3	4	18	17	12
15	Yate Town	10	3	3	4	13	21	12
16	Sholing	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
17	Bracknell Town	10	3	2	5	11	19	11
18	Hanwell Town	9	2	4	3	9	11	10
19	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
20	Chippenham Town	9	2	2	5	9	18	8
21	Havant and W	10	1	2	7	12	22	5
22	Malvern Town	10	1	2	7	14	29	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plymouth Parkway	Wimborne Town
Chichester City	1-3 L	0-1 L
Gloucester	1-1 D	1-1 D
Frome Town	2-0 W	0-2 L
Havant and W	2-1 W	6-3 W
Bracknell Town	7-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plymouth Parkway

WDLWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
22/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	7-0	–	–	W

Wimborne Town

DLLDWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	6-3	–	–	W
29/09	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
29/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plymouth Parkway vs Wimborne Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plymouth Parkway win (46%). Probabilities: Plymouth Parkway 46%, draw 25%, Wimborne Town 29%.

How many goals are expected in Plymouth Parkway vs Wimborne Town?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Plymouth Parkway 1.73 · Wimborne Town 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Plymouth Parkway vs Wimborne Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.