Football · England Southern Premier League South · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Sholing vs Chichester City

Team pages: Sholing · Chichester City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Sholing1.65

Chichester City1.36

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Sholing Draw Chichester City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sholing 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Chichester City 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sholing 1547 · Chichester City 1536

	Sholing	Draw	Chichester City
Our model	43%	26%	30%
Market	44%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sholing	Chichester City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:47 +18’	2.05	3.50	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
2	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
3	Plymouth Parkway	10	6	2	2	24	11	20
4	Hanworth Villa	10	6	1	3	18	11	19
5	Bath City	10	5	2	3	14	10	17
6	Frome Town	11	4	4	3	18	14	16
7	Chichester City	10	5	1	4	17	17	16
8	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
9	Wimborne Town	9	4	3	2	16	7	15
10	Chertsey Town	10	4	3	3	22	17	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24	24	13
13	Evesham United	10	4	1	5	14	18	13
14	Basingstoke	10	3	3	4	18	17	12
15	Yate Town	10	3	3	4	13	21	12
16	Sholing	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
17	Bracknell Town	10	3	2	5	11	19	11
18	Hanwell Town	9	2	4	3	9	11	10
19	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
20	Chippenham Town	9	2	2	5	9	18	8
21	Havant and W	10	1	2	7	12	22	5
22	Malvern Town	10	1	2	7	14	29	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sholing	Chichester City
Plymouth Parkway	1-3 L	3-1 W
Chertsey Town	2-4 L	2-2 D
Hanwell Town	0-0 D	2-0 W
Poole Town	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chichester City (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sholing

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	Dorchester England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W

Chichester City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
22/09	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-5	4	1	L
31/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-0	6	5	W
22/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
15/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
11/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	0-2	1-2	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sholing vs Chichester City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sholing win (43%). Probabilities: Sholing 43%, draw 26%, Chichester City 31%.

How many goals are expected in Sholing vs Chichester City?

The model expects 3 goals (Sholing 1.65 · Chichester City 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sholing vs Chichester City?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.