Football · England Southern Premier League South · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Evesham United vs Taunton Town

Team pages: Evesham United · Taunton Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

Evesham United1.61

Taunton Town1.79

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Evesham United Draw Taunton Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Evesham United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDWLLL

Taunton Town 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLLDL

Head-to-head

Evesham United 1–1–0 Taunton Town (2 last)

Taunton Town0-0Evesham United
Evesham United3-0Taunton Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Evesham United 1484 · Taunton Town 1484

	Evesham United	Draw	Taunton Town
Our model	34%	24%	42%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Evesham United	Taunton Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	2.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.3	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.50

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:59 +19’	2.70	3.50	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Evesham United 1–1–0 Taunton Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	0-0	Evesham United
13/12/25 England Southern Premier League South	Evesham United	3-0 HT 3-0	Taunton Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
2	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26	12	23
3	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
4	Hanworth Villa	11	7	1	3	22	12	22
5	Bath City	11	6	2	3	16	10	20
6	Frome Town	12	5	4	3	20	14	19
7	Chichester City	11	6	1	4	20	19	19
8	Chertsey Town	11	4	4	3	23	18	16
9	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
10	Wimborne Town	10	4	3	3	17	9	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24	24	13
13	Evesham United	11	4	1	6	14	20	13
14	Basingstoke	11	3	3	5	19	21	12
15	Yate Town	11	3	3	5	15	24	12
16	Hanwell Town	10	2	5	3	10	12	11
17	Sholing	10	3	2	5	12	16	11
18	Bracknell Town	11	3	2	6	12	23	11
19	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
20	Havant and W	11	2	2	7	16	23	8
21	Chippenham Town	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
22	Malvern Town	11	2	2	7	17	31	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Evesham United	Taunton Town
Bath City	0-2 L	1-3 L
Uxbridge	0-1 L	4-5 L
Berkhamsted	0-0 D	2-1 W
Hanworth Villa	1-4 L	0-2 L
Frome Town	0-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Taunton Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Evesham United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
10/10	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
03/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
12/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
31/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
11/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-4	–	–	L

Taunton Town

LWWLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
22/09	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	4-3	–	–	W
22/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	4-5	–	–	L
15/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	5-2	8	1	W
08/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Evesham United vs Taunton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Taunton Town win (41%). Probabilities: Evesham United 34%, draw 25%, Taunton Town 41%.

How many goals are expected in Evesham United vs Taunton Town?

The model expects 3.4 goals (Evesham United 1.61 · Taunton Town 1.79), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Evesham United vs Taunton Town?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.