Football · England Southern Premier League South · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Uxbridge vs Yate Town

Team pages: Uxbridge · Yate Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Uxbridge2.06

Yate Town1.01

1X2

61% 22% 17%

Uxbridge Draw Yate Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Uxbridge 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWLWWW

Yate Town 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDLLDD

Head-to-head

Uxbridge 0–2 Yate Town (2 last)

Yate Town2-0Uxbridge
Uxbridge1-3Yate Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Uxbridge 1574 · Yate Town 1475

	Uxbridge	Draw	Yate Town
Our model	61%	23%	17%
Market	61%	22%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uxbridge (rating 1574 vs 1475).
H2H favours Yate Town: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Uxbridge	Yate Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	1.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	2 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.20

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:01 +36’	1.48	4.20	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Uxbridge 0–0–2 Yate Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Yate Town	2-0	Uxbridge
15/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Uxbridge	1-3 HT 1-0	Yate Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	12	9	2	1	25	8	29
2	Poole Town	13	9	1	3	24	15	28
3	Hanworth Villa	14	8	3	3	27	16	27
4	Plymouth Parkway	13	8	2	3	27	14	26
5	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	26
6	Chichester City	14	7	1	6	24	23	22
7	Gosport Borough	14	6	3	5	22	18	21
8	Chertsey Town	13	5	5	3	27	20	20
9	Wimborne Town	12	5	4	3	20	9	19
10	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	19
11	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
12	Berkhamsted	13	5	2	6	16	18	17
13	Basingstoke	14	4	3	7	21	27	15
14	Hanwell Town	12	3	5	4	16	15	14
15	Yate Town	13	3	5	5	16	25	14
16	Bracknell Town	14	4	2	8	14	30	14
17	Sholing	12	3	4	5	14	18	13
18	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	13
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	11
20	Gloucester	11	2	4	5	15	19	10
21	Havant and W	14	2	3	9	19	32	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Uxbridge	Yate Town
Malvern Town	3-0 W	2-3 L
Berkhamsted	0-1 L	0-3 L
Wimborne Town	0-0 D	0-0 D
Taunton Town	5-4 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Uxbridge (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Uxbridge

WDWWDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
10/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
15/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	0	5	L
12/09	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	2-0	5-0	6	1	W
31/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
29/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	5-4	–	–	W
15/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W

Yate Town

WLLWLDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
20/10	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
13/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
10/10	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
03/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
29/09	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-4	–	–	L
12/09	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uxbridge vs Yate Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Uxbridge win (61%). Probabilities: Uxbridge 61%, draw 22%, Yate Town 17%.

How many goals are expected in Uxbridge vs Yate Town?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Uxbridge 2.06 · Yate Town 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Uxbridge vs Yate Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.