Football · England Southern Premier League South · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Wimborne Town vs Chippenham Town

Team pages: Wimborne Town · Chippenham Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Wimborne Town1.87

Chippenham Town0.96

1X2

58% 24% 18%

Wimborne Town Draw Chippenham Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Wimborne Town 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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Chippenham Town 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDLLD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wimborne Town 1604 · Chippenham Town 1448

	Wimborne Town	Draw	Chippenham Town
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wimborne Town (rating 1604 vs 1448).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wimborne Town	Chippenham Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.6	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.3	1.3 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.70

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:21 +16’	1.55	3.70	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	12	9	2	1	25	8	29
2	Poole Town	13	9	1	3	24	15	28
3	Hanworth Villa	14	8	3	3	27	16	27
4	Plymouth Parkway	13	8	2	3	27	14	26
5	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	26
6	Chichester City	14	7	1	6	24	23	22
7	Gosport Borough	14	6	3	5	22	18	21
8	Chertsey Town	13	5	5	3	27	20	20
9	Wimborne Town	12	5	4	3	20	9	19
10	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	19
11	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
12	Berkhamsted	13	5	2	6	16	18	17
13	Basingstoke	14	4	3	7	21	27	15
14	Hanwell Town	12	3	5	4	16	15	14
15	Yate Town	13	3	5	5	16	25	14
16	Bracknell Town	14	4	2	8	14	30	14
17	Sholing	12	3	4	5	14	18	13
18	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	13
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	11
20	Gloucester	11	2	4	5	15	19	10
21	Havant and W	14	2	3	9	19	32	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wimborne Town	Chippenham Town
Plymouth Parkway	1-2 L	3-2 W
Hanworth Villa	0-0 D	1-1 D
Malvern Town	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wimborne Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
20/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
13/10	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
10/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	6-3	–	–	W
29/09	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
29/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D

Chippenham Town

WLLWLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
17/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
13/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
10/10	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/09	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
12/09	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-4	–	–	L
15/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wimborne Town vs Chippenham Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wimborne Town win (58%). Probabilities: Wimborne Town 58%, draw 24%, Chippenham Town 18%.

How many goals are expected in Wimborne Town vs Chippenham Town?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Wimborne Town 1.87 · Chippenham Town 0.96), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wimborne Town vs Chippenham Town?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.