Football · England Southern Premier League South · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Bracknell Town vs Frome Town

Team pages: Bracknell Town · Frome Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Bracknell Town1.23

Frome Town1.47

1X2

31% 26% 42%

Bracknell Town Draw Frome Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bracknell Town 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWLLLL

Frome Town 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDDDWLL

Head-to-head

Bracknell Town 2–0 Frome Town (2 last)

Bracknell Town4-1Frome Town
Frome Town1-2Bracknell Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bracknell Town 1427 · Frome Town 1482

	Bracknell Town	Draw	Frome Town
Our model	31%	28%	41%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frome Town (rating 1427 vs 1482).
H2H favours Bracknell Town: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bracknell Town	Frome Town
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 7	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	5.3 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:13 +6’	2.80	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bracknell Town 2–0–0 Frome Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/12/24 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	4-1 HT 2-1	Frome Town
17/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	Frome Town	1-2	Bracknell Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	14	10	2	2	28	11	32
2	Poole Town	15	10	1	4	27	16	31
3	Hanworth Villa	15	9	3	3	31	18	30
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	32	19	29
5	Bath City	14	9	2	3	20	10	29
6	Chertsey Town	15	7	5	3	33	24	26
7	Chichester City	15	8	1	6	27	25	25
8	Gosport Borough	15	7	3	5	25	20	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Taunton Town	13	6	1	6	32	26	19
11	Frome Town	14	5	4	5	22	19	19
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Sholing	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
14	Evesham United	15	5	1	9	20	32	16
15	Basingstoke	15	4	3	8	24	31	15
16	Hanwell Town	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
17	Yate Town	14	3	5	6	16	27	14
18	Bracknell Town	16	4	2	10	17	35	14
19	Havant and W	15	3	3	9	20	32	12
20	Chippenham Town	14	3	3	8	15	29	12
21	Gloucester	12	2	5	5	17	21	11
22	Malvern Town	14	3	2	9	21	38	11

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bracknell Town	Frome Town
Chertsey Town	1-2 L	2-1 W
Taunton Town	0-4 L	2-2 D
Chichester City	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Frome Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bracknell Town

LWDLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
31/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
27/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
20/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-4	–	–	L
17/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-4	5	8	L
10/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
19/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frome Town

WWDLDDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
17/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/10	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
10/10	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
30/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
22/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-1	4	13	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bracknell Town vs Frome Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Frome Town win (42%). Probabilities: Bracknell Town 31%, draw 26%, Frome Town 42%.

How many goals are expected in Bracknell Town vs Frome Town?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Bracknell Town 1.23 · Frome Town 1.47), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bracknell Town vs Frome Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.