Football · England Southern Premier League South · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Havant and W vs Yate Town

Team pages: Havant and W · Yate Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Havant and W1.72

Yate Town1.46

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Havant and W Draw Yate Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Havant and W 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Yate Town 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLDDLDW

Head-to-head

Havant and W 1–1 Yate Town (2 last)

Havant and W1-3Yate Town
Yate Town1-2Havant and W

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Havant and W 1445 · Yate Town 1482

	Havant and W	Draw	Yate Town
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Havant and W	Yate Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.1	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3	2 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:06 +2’	2.10	3.60	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Havant and W 1–0–1 Yate Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 England Southern Premier League South	Havant and W	1-3	Yate Town
13/12/25 England Southern Premier League South	Yate Town	1-2	Havant and W

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	16	11	3	2	33	14	36
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	28	17	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	32	19	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	32	19	29
5	Chertsey Town	16	8	5	3	35	25	29
6	Bath City	16	9	2	5	21	15	29
7	Chichester City	17	9	1	7	30	28	28
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	25	22	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Taunton Town	14	7	1	6	35	26	22
11	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	24	21	20
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Yate Town	16	4	6	6	20	28	18
14	Sholing	14	4	5	5	19	21	17
15	Hanwell Town	16	4	5	7	22	26	17
16	Basingstoke	16	4	4	8	25	32	16
17	Chippenham Town	16	4	4	8	18	30	16
18	Evesham United	17	5	1	11	21	37	16
19	Gloucester	14	3	6	5	21	24	15
20	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	19	37	15
21	Malvern Town	16	4	2	10	24	41	14
22	Havant and W	16	3	3	10	20	33	12

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Havant and W	Yate Town
Malvern Town	0-1 L	2-3 L
Hanworth Villa	2-2 D	3-2 W
Wimborne Town	3-6 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Yate Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Havant and W

LLDLWDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	0-3	1-6	2	5	L
20/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	0	0	L
17/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
13/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	2-0	4-1	2	3	W
10/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-6	–	–	L
29/09	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
19/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	5	4	L

Yate Town

WLDLLDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
07/11	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
27/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
20/10	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
13/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
10/10	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
03/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
29/09	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-4	–	–	L
12/09	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Havant and W vs Yate Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Havant and W win (43%). Probabilities: Havant and W 43%, draw 25%, Yate Town 32%.

How many goals are expected in Havant and W vs Yate Town?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Havant and W 1.72 · Yate Town 1.46), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Havant and W vs Yate Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.