Football · England Southern Premier League South · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Evesham United vs Gosport Borough

Team pages: Evesham United · Gosport Borough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Evesham United1.46

Gosport Borough1.56

1X2

35% 26% 40%

Evesham United Draw Gosport Borough

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Evesham United 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLLL

Gosport Borough 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Evesham United 0–2 Gosport Borough (2 last)

Evesham United1-3Gosport Borough
Gosport Borough1-0Evesham United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Evesham United 1391 · Gosport Borough 1526

	Evesham United	Draw	Gosport Borough
Our model	34%	26%	39%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gosport Borough (rating 1391 vs 1526).
H2H favours Gosport Borough: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Evesham United	Gosport Borough
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.3	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	1.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:59 +10’	2.55	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Evesham United 0–0–2 Gosport Borough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 England Southern Premier League South	Evesham United	1-3	Gosport Borough
06/12/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	1-0 HT 1-0	Evesham United

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	16	11	3	2	33	14	36
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	28	17	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	32	19	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	32	19	29
5	Chertsey Town	16	8	5	3	35	25	29
6	Bath City	16	9	2	5	21	15	29
7	Chichester City	17	9	1	7	30	28	28
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	25	22	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Taunton Town	14	7	1	6	35	26	22
11	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	24	21	20
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Yate Town	16	4	6	6	20	28	18
14	Sholing	14	4	5	5	19	21	17
15	Hanwell Town	16	4	5	7	22	26	17
16	Basingstoke	16	4	4	8	25	32	16
17	Chippenham Town	16	4	4	8	18	30	16
18	Evesham United	17	5	1	11	21	37	16
19	Gloucester	14	3	6	5	21	24	15
20	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	19	37	15
21	Malvern Town	16	4	2	10	24	41	14
22	Havant and W	16	3	3	10	20	33	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Evesham United	Gosport Borough
Hanwell Town	1-2 L	3-2 W
Chippenham Town	2-4 L	0-2 L
Bracknell Town	3-2 W	3-1 W
Taunton Town	1-4 L	3-1 W
Bath City	0-2 L	2-1 W
Poole Town	1-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gosport Borough (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Evesham United

WLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
07/11	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/11	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	1-4	2-4	7	3	L
31/10	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
20/10	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	13	4	L
17/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
13/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
10/10	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
03/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-0	2	1	W

Gosport Borough

WDDLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	2-0	3-2	5	6	W
27/10	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	3-0	4-0	3	6	W
10/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
07/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-3	3	1	L
30/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
19/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Evesham United vs Gosport Borough?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gosport Borough win (40%). Probabilities: Evesham United 35%, draw 26%, Gosport Borough 40%.

How many goals are expected in Evesham United vs Gosport Borough?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Evesham United 1.46 · Gosport Borough 1.56), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Evesham United vs Gosport Borough?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.