Football · England Southern Premier League South · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Hanwell Town vs Plymouth Parkway

Team pages: Hanwell Town · Plymouth Parkway

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Hanwell Town1.61

Plymouth Parkway1.6

1X2

38% 25% 37%

Hanwell Town Draw Plymouth Parkway

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hanwell Town 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDWDLWLLWL

Plymouth Parkway 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Hanwell Town 5–1 Plymouth Parkway (6 last)

Plymouth Parkway2-0Hanwell Town
Hanwell Town3-2Plymouth Parkway
Hanwell Town2-1Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth Parkway0-2Hanwell Town
Hanwell Town4-0Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth Parkway1-2Hanwell Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hanwell Town 1473 · Plymouth Parkway 1547

	Hanwell Town	Draw	Plymouth Parkway
Our model	37%	25%	37%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plymouth Parkway (rating 1473 vs 1547).
H2H favours Hanwell Town: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hanwell Town	Plymouth Parkway
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/17/50%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.5	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:30 +39’	2.38	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hanwell Town 5–0–1 Plymouth Parkway

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	2-0	Hanwell Town
24/02/26 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	3-2 HT 0-2	Plymouth Parkway
26/04/25 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	2-1	Plymouth Parkway
21/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	0-2 HT 0-2	Hanwell Town
18/04/24 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	4-0 HT 1-0	Plymouth Parkway
09/09/23 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	1-2	Hanwell Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	16	11	3	2	33	14	36
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	28	17	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	32	19	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	32	19	29
5	Chertsey Town	16	8	5	3	35	25	29
6	Bath City	16	9	2	5	21	15	29
7	Chichester City	17	9	1	7	30	28	28
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	25	22	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Taunton Town	14	7	1	6	35	26	22
11	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	24	21	20
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Yate Town	16	4	6	6	20	28	18
14	Sholing	14	4	5	5	19	21	17
15	Hanwell Town	16	4	5	7	22	26	17
16	Basingstoke	16	4	4	8	25	32	16
17	Chippenham Town	16	4	4	8	18	30	16
18	Evesham United	17	5	1	11	21	37	16
19	Gloucester	14	3	6	5	21	24	15
20	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	19	37	15
21	Malvern Town	16	4	2	10	24	41	14
22	Havant and W	16	3	3	10	20	33	12

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hanwell Town	Plymouth Parkway
Uxbridge	2-4 L	3-1 W
Poole Town	0-3 L	2-0 W
Frome Town	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Plymouth Parkway (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hanwell Town

DDWDLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
07/11	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/11	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	0-2	2-3	8	6	L
27/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	3-0	6-1	6	5	W
17/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-2	6	3	L
13/10	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	10	6	D
10/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D

Plymouth Parkway

WWWDLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	2-0	3-1	1	1	W
31/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L
27/10	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
10/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
22/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hanwell Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hanwell Town win (38%). Probabilities: Hanwell Town 38%, draw 25%, Plymouth Parkway 37%.

How many goals are expected in Hanwell Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Hanwell Town 1.61 · Plymouth Parkway 1.6), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hanwell Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.