Football · England Southern Premier League South · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Gloucester vs Sholing

Team pages: Gloucester · Sholing

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Gloucester1.78

Sholing1.26

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Gloucester Draw Sholing

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gloucester 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDLDWLDDW

Sholing 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLDDWD

Head-to-head

Gloucester 2–2–0 Sholing (4 last)

Sholing1-1Gloucester
Gloucester2-1Sholing
Gloucester2-1Sholing
Sholing1-1Gloucester

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gloucester 1502 · Sholing 1496

	Gloucester	Draw	Sholing
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	49%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gloucester: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gloucester	Sholing
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +52’	1.83	3.70	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gloucester 2–2–0 Sholing

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Sholing	1-1	Gloucester
11/10/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	2-1 HT 1-1	Sholing
18/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	2-1	Sholing
09/11/24 England Southern Premier League South	Sholing	1-1	Gloucester

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	16	11	3	2	33	14	36
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	28	17	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	32	19	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	32	19	29
5	Chertsey Town	16	8	5	3	35	25	29
6	Bath City	16	9	2	5	21	15	29
7	Chichester City	17	9	1	7	30	28	28
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	25	22	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Taunton Town	14	7	1	6	35	26	22
11	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	24	21	20
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Yate Town	16	4	6	6	20	28	18
14	Sholing	14	4	5	5	19	21	17
15	Hanwell Town	16	4	5	7	22	26	17
16	Basingstoke	16	4	4	8	25	32	16
17	Chippenham Town	16	4	4	8	18	30	16
18	Evesham United	17	5	1	11	21	37	16
19	Gloucester	14	3	6	5	21	24	15
20	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	19	37	15
21	Malvern Town	16	4	2	10	24	41	14
22	Havant and W	16	3	3	10	20	33	12

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gloucester	Sholing
Malvern Town	3-2 W	4-2 W
Yate Town	1-1 D	1-1 D
Berkhamsted	2-2 D	1-1 D
Plymouth Parkway	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gloucester

DLDLDWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	2-2	3-2	7	4	W
07/11	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
27/10	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
10/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/09	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-5	5	3	L
12/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D

Sholing

LWLWDLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	3-1	4-2	5	4	W
27/10	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
20/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
13/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-3	3	4	L
10/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gloucester vs Sholing?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gloucester win (49%). Probabilities: Gloucester 49%, draw 25%, Sholing 26%.

How many goals are expected in Gloucester vs Sholing?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Gloucester 1.78 · Sholing 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gloucester vs Sholing?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.