Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Burgess Hill Town vs Ramsgate

Team pages: Burgess Hill Town · Ramsgate

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Burgess Hill Town1.71

Ramsgate1.64

1X2

39% 26% 36%

Burgess Hill Town Draw Ramsgate

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Burgess Hill Town 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWDDWD

Ramsgate 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Burgess Hill Town 2–1–0 Ramsgate (3 last)

Ramsgate2-4Burgess Hill Town
Burgess Hill Town4-3Ramsgate
Burgess Hill Town0-0Ramsgate

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burgess Hill Town 1504 · Ramsgate 1479

	Burgess Hill Town	Draw	Ramsgate
Our model	39%	25%	36%
Market	38%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Burgess Hill Town: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Burgess Hill Town	Ramsgate
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	2.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6	0 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.5	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.40

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:29 +2’	2.35	3.40	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgess Hill Town 2–1–0 Ramsgate

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Ramsgate	2-4 HT 1-3	Burgess Hill Town
13/12/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Burgess Hill Town	4-3	Ramsgate
01/03/25 England Isthmian Division One South	Burgess Hill Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Ramsgate

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	6	5	0	1	20	7	15
2	Carshalton Ath	6	5	0	1	12	5	15
3	Lewes	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
4	Welling	6	4	0	2	12	8	12
5	Dartford	6	4	0	2	8	8	12
6	Dulwich	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	Aveley	6	3	1	2	12	8	10
8	Leatherhead	6	3	1	2	12	11	10
9	St Albans	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
10	Ramsgate	6	3	0	3	15	8	9
11	Chatham Town	6	3	0	3	12	9	9
12	Burgess Hill Town	6	2	3	1	9	7	9
13	Cray Wanderers	5	2	2	1	8	5	8
14	Wingate & Finchley	6	2	2	2	8	11	8
15	Eastbourne Borough	6	2	1	3	9	10	7
16	Maldon Tiptree FC	4	2	0	2	6	9	6
17	Cheshunt	6	0	5	1	4	6	5
18	Three Bridges	6	1	1	4	11	18	4
19	Brentwood Town	5	1	0	4	5	9	3
20	Whitehawk	6	0	2	4	4	14	2
21	AFC Whyteleafe	6	0	2	4	6	17	2
22	Stanway Rovers	6	0	1	5	3	15	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Burgess Hill Town	Ramsgate
Leatherhead	2-2 D	1-2 L
AFC Whyteleafe	3-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Burgess Hill Town

WLLWLWDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	8	W
22/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
08/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-2	–	–	W
18/04	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/04	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/04	Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	8	0	W

Ramsgate

LLLWLWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	5-1	–	–	W
29/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	0	2	L
22/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
15/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
08/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	Canvey Island England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-2	–	–	W
18/04	Hashtag United England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/04	Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/04	Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burgess Hill Town vs Ramsgate?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burgess Hill Town win (39%). Probabilities: Burgess Hill Town 39%, draw 26%, Ramsgate 36%.

How many goals are expected in Burgess Hill Town vs Ramsgate?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Burgess Hill Town 1.71 · Ramsgate 1.64), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Burgess Hill Town vs Ramsgate?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.