Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Cheshunt vs Whitehawk

Team pages: Cheshunt · Whitehawk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Cheshunt2.02

Whitehawk1.25

1X2

54% 23% 22%

Cheshunt Draw Whitehawk

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Cheshunt 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDLLWDWW

Whitehawk 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Cheshunt 3–1–2 Whitehawk (6 last)

Cheshunt0-0Whitehawk
Whitehawk1-3Cheshunt
Cheshunt1-4Whitehawk
Whitehawk0-2Cheshunt
Whitehawk2-0Cheshunt
Cheshunt2-0Whitehawk

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cheshunt 1511 · Whitehawk 1411

	Cheshunt	Draw	Whitehawk
Our model	54%	23%	22%
Market	54%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cheshunt (rating 1511 vs 1411).
H2H favours Cheshunt: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cheshunt	Whitehawk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.3 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	0.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6	0.5 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.65▼	Bet365 1.65
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	3.80 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:38 +3’	1.70	3.80	3.80
01:03 +11’	1.65▼	3.90▲	4.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheshunt 3–1–2 Whitehawk

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	0-0	Whitehawk
17/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Whitehawk	1-3 HT 1-2	Cheshunt
18/01/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	1-4	Whitehawk
19/10/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Whitehawk	0-2	Cheshunt
06/02/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Whitehawk	2-0 HT 0-0	Cheshunt
27/01/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	2-0	Whitehawk

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	11	9	0	2	30	13	27
2	Lewes	12	8	1	3	19	13	25
3	Welling	11	8	0	3	20	10	24
4	Dartford	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
5	Carshalton Ath	13	7	0	6	19	22	21
6	Ramsgate	12	6	1	5	27	17	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	Burgess Hill Town	10	4	5	1	18	11	17
9	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
10	Dulwich	10	5	1	4	18	14	16
11	Chatham Town	9	5	0	4	19	13	15
12	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
13	Cheshunt	11	3	5	3	11	14	14
14	Wingate & Finchley	10	4	2	4	16	20	14
15	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
16	AFC Whyteleafe	12	3	3	6	18	21	12
17	Aveley	11	3	2	6	18	19	11
18	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
19	Maldon Tiptree FC	12	3	0	9	15	33	9
20	Three Bridges	11	2	2	7	20	31	8
21	Whitehawk	12	1	2	9	11	31	5
22	Stanway Rovers	10	1	1	8	8	26	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cheshunt	Whitehawk
Lewes	3-1 W	0-1 L
AFC Whyteleafe	2-2 D	0-5 L
Burgess Hill Town	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cheshunt (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cheshunt

LDDDLLWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-1	7	0	W
26/09	Cray Wanderers England FA Trophy	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/09	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
29/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L

Whitehawk

LLDLWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-5	3	4	L
10/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
03/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
29/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
26/09	AFC Whyteleafe England FA Trophy	–	4-1	–	–	W
15/09	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-3	1-5	1	3	L
22/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cheshunt vs Whitehawk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cheshunt win (54%). Probabilities: Cheshunt 54%, draw 23%, Whitehawk 22%.

How many goals are expected in Cheshunt vs Whitehawk?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Cheshunt 2.02 · Whitehawk 1.25), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cheshunt vs Whitehawk?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.