Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Dulwich vs Carshalton Ath

Team pages: Dulwich · Carshalton Ath

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Dulwich1.79

Carshalton Ath1.31

1X2

48% 25% 28%

Dulwich Draw Carshalton Ath

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dulwich 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Carshalton Ath 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dulwich 3–1–2 Carshalton Ath (6 last)

Dulwich2-1Carshalton Ath
Carshalton Ath1-1Dulwich
Carshalton Ath5-1Dulwich
Dulwich1-0Carshalton Ath
Carshalton Ath3-0Dulwich
Dulwich2-1Carshalton Ath

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dulwich 1502 · Carshalton Ath 1451

	Dulwich	Draw	Carshalton Ath
Our model	48%	25%	27%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dulwich (rating 1502 vs 1451).
H2H favours Dulwich: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dulwich	Carshalton Ath
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	25/0/75%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.8	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.70

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:22 +13’	1.85	3.70	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dulwich 3–1–2 Carshalton Ath

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	2-1 HT 2-0	Carshalton Ath
27/12/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	1-1	Dulwich
21/04/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	5-1 HT 3-0	Dulwich
26/12/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	1-0 HT 1-0	Carshalton Ath
01/04/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	3-0 HT 0-0	Dulwich
26/12/23 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	2-1	Carshalton Ath

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	11	9	0	2	30	13	27
2	Lewes	12	8	1	3	19	13	25
3	Welling	11	8	0	3	20	10	24
4	Dartford	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
5	Carshalton Ath	13	7	0	6	19	22	21
6	Ramsgate	12	6	1	5	27	17	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	Burgess Hill Town	10	4	5	1	18	11	17
9	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
10	Dulwich	10	5	1	4	18	14	16
11	Chatham Town	9	5	0	4	19	13	15
12	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
13	Cheshunt	11	3	5	3	11	14	14
14	Wingate & Finchley	10	4	2	4	16	20	14
15	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
16	Aveley	11	3	2	6	18	19	11
17	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
18	AFC Whyteleafe	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
19	Maldon Tiptree FC	12	3	0	9	15	33	9
20	Three Bridges	11	2	2	7	20	31	8
21	Whitehawk	11	1	2	8	11	26	5
22	Stanway Rovers	10	1	1	8	8	26	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dulwich	Carshalton Ath
Enfield Town	0-3 L	1-2 L
Brentwood Town	2-1 W	2-0 W
Three Bridges	2-2 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Carshalton Ath (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dulwich

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
10/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
29/09	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/09	Hastings Utd England FA Trophy	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
22/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L

Carshalton Ath

WWLLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
10/10	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	0	3	L
03/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-3	1	5	L
31/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	8	5	W
22/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dulwich vs Carshalton Ath?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dulwich win (48%). Probabilities: Dulwich 48%, draw 25%, Carshalton Ath 28%.

How many goals are expected in Dulwich vs Carshalton Ath?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Dulwich 1.79 · Carshalton Ath 1.31), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dulwich vs Carshalton Ath?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.