Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: AFC Whyteleafe vs Dulwich

Team pages: AFC Whyteleafe · Dulwich

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

AFC Whyteleafe1.59

Dulwich1.57

1X2

38% 25% 37%

AFC Whyteleafe Draw Dulwich

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Whyteleafe 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLWWWL

Dulwich 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLDLDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Whyteleafe 1475 · Dulwich 1483

	AFC Whyteleafe	Draw	Dulwich
Our model	38%	26%	37%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Whyteleafe	Dulwich
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/50/17%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	1.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:48 +46’	2.35	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	13	10	1	2	37	16	31
2	Welling	14	10	0	4	27	15	30
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Eastbourne Borough	12	8	1	3	23	12	25
5	Dartford	13	8	0	5	19	17	24
6	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	29	17	22
7	Carshalton Ath	15	7	1	7	23	28	22
8	Chatham Town	13	7	0	6	26	20	21
9	Dulwich	14	6	3	5	23	22	21
10	St Albans	10	6	2	2	21	14	20
11	Burgess Hill Town	13	5	5	3	24	20	20
12	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24	23	20
13	Brentwood Town	12	5	0	7	22	21	15
14	Leatherhead	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
15	AFC Whyteleafe	14	4	3	7	22	25	15
16	Cheshunt	14	3	6	5	14	22	15
17	Aveley	13	4	2	7	20	21	14
18	Maldon Tiptree FC	16	4	2	10	20	38	14
19	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	23	36	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	2	1	10	12	32	7
22	Whitehawk	14	1	3	10	13	34	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Whyteleafe	Dulwich
Burgess Hill Town	2-3 L	0-2 L
Whitehawk	5-0 W	2-1 W
Maldon Tiptree FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Brentwood Town	1-2 L	2-1 W
Leatherhead	0-0 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Whyteleafe (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AFC Whyteleafe

LWDLLLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	2-2	2-3	6	3	L
17/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
14/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	5-0	6	4	W
10/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
30/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
26/09	Whitehawk England FA Trophy	–	1-4	–	–	L
15/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
12/09	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
31/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-5	–	–	L

Dulwich

WWLWLLDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	4	0	L
17/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
10/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
29/09	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/09	Hastings Utd England FA Trophy	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Whyteleafe vs Dulwich?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Whyteleafe win (38%). Probabilities: AFC Whyteleafe 38%, draw 25%, Dulwich 37%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Whyteleafe vs Dulwich?

The model expects 3.17 goals (AFC Whyteleafe 1.59 · Dulwich 1.57), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Whyteleafe vs Dulwich?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.