Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Brentwood Town vs Cray Wanderers

Team pages: Brentwood Town · Cray Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Brentwood Town2.09

Cray Wanderers1.65

1X2

47% 23% 30%

Brentwood Town Draw Cray Wanderers

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Brentwood Town 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWDWLWW

Cray Wanderers 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLDDWL

Head-to-head

Brentwood Town 1–1–1 Cray Wanderers (3 last)

Brentwood Town1-4Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers1-5Brentwood Town
Brentwood Town1-1Cray Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brentwood Town 1495 · Cray Wanderers 1570

	Brentwood Town	Draw	Cray Wanderers
Our model	47%	23%	30%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cray Wanderers (rating 1495 vs 1570).
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brentwood Town	Cray Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.5	1.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7	2.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.80

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:00 +33’	1.90	3.80	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brentwood Town 1–1–1 Cray Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/01/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Brentwood Town	1-4	Cray Wanderers
25/08/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	1-5	Brentwood Town
05/10/24 England FA Trophy	Brentwood Town	1-1	Cray Wanderers

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	13	10	1	2	37	16	31
2	Welling	14	10	0	4	27	15	30
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Eastbourne Borough	12	8	1	3	23	12	25
5	Dartford	13	8	0	5	19	17	24
6	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	29	17	22
7	Carshalton Ath	15	7	1	7	23	28	22
8	Chatham Town	13	7	0	6	26	20	21
9	Dulwich	14	6	3	5	23	22	21
10	St Albans	10	6	2	2	21	14	20
11	Burgess Hill Town	13	5	5	3	24	20	20
12	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24	23	20
13	Brentwood Town	12	5	0	7	22	21	15
14	Leatherhead	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
15	AFC Whyteleafe	14	4	3	7	22	25	15
16	Cheshunt	14	3	6	5	14	22	15
17	Aveley	13	4	2	7	20	21	14
18	Maldon Tiptree FC	16	4	2	10	20	38	14
19	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	23	36	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	2	1	10	12	32	7
22	Whitehawk	14	1	3	10	13	34	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brentwood Town	Cray Wanderers
Cheshunt	4-2 W	1-1 D
Maldon Tiptree FC	5-1 W	5-1 W
Carshalton Ath	0-2 L	1-2 L
Enfield Town	1-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cray Wanderers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Brentwood Town

LLLLWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-2	–	–	W
20/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
10/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
26/09	Hashtag United England FA Trophy	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	5-1	10	2	W
15/09	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-3	2-3	9	2	L
12/09	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
22/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L

Cray Wanderers

DDLWWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
29/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	3-0	5-1	4	4	W
26/09	Cheshunt England FA Trophy	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/09	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	3-3	7	3	D
12/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brentwood Town vs Cray Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brentwood Town win (47%). Probabilities: Brentwood Town 47%, draw 23%, Cray Wanderers 30%.

How many goals are expected in Brentwood Town vs Cray Wanderers?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Brentwood Town 2.09 · Cray Wanderers 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brentwood Town vs Cray Wanderers?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.