Football · England Southern Premier League South · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Havant and W vs Basingstoke

Team pages: Havant and W · Basingstoke

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Havant and W1.62

Basingstoke1.39

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Havant and W Draw Basingstoke

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Havant and W 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLLDL

Basingstoke 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWDDLW

Head-to-head

Havant and W 4–2–0 Basingstoke (6 last)

Havant and W0-0Basingstoke
Basingstoke1-3Havant and W
Basingstoke0-3Havant and W
Havant and W5-1Basingstoke
Basingstoke1-1Havant and W
Havant and W1-0Basingstoke

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Havant and W 1404 · Basingstoke 1469

	Havant and W	Draw	Basingstoke
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Basingstoke (rating 1404 vs 1469).
H2H favours Havant and W: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Havant and W	Basingstoke
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.2	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.5	2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.5	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:47 +27’	2.10	3.60	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Havant and W 4–2–0 Basingstoke

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 England Southern Premier League South	Havant and W	0-0	Basingstoke
20/09/25 England Southern Premier League South	Basingstoke	1-3	Havant and W
22/02/25 England Southern Premier League South	Basingstoke	0-3	Havant and W
30/11/24 England Southern Premier League South	Havant and W	5-1	Basingstoke
12/03/16 England National League South	Basingstoke	1-1 HT 0-1	Havant and W
23/01/16 England National League South	Havant and W	1-0 HT 0-0	Basingstoke

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
2	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
3	Plymouth Parkway	10	6	2	2	24	11	20
4	Hanworth Villa	10	6	1	3	18	11	19
5	Bath City	10	5	2	3	14	10	17
6	Frome Town	11	4	4	3	18	14	16
7	Chichester City	10	5	1	4	17	17	16
8	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
9	Wimborne Town	9	4	3	2	16	7	15
10	Chertsey Town	10	4	3	3	22	17	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24	24	13
13	Evesham United	10	4	1	5	14	18	13
14	Basingstoke	10	3	3	4	18	17	12
15	Yate Town	10	3	3	4	13	21	12
16	Sholing	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
17	Bracknell Town	10	3	2	5	11	19	11
18	Hanwell Town	9	2	4	3	9	11	10
19	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
20	Chippenham Town	9	2	2	5	9	18	8
21	Havant and W	10	1	2	7	12	22	5
22	Malvern Town	10	1	2	7	14	29	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Havant and W	Basingstoke
Hanwell Town	1-1 D	1-2 L
Bracknell Town	1-2 L	2-1 W
Poole Town	0-1 L	2-0 W
Gloucester	3-3 D	1-1 D
Uxbridge	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Basingstoke (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Havant and W

LLWLDLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-6	–	–	L
29/09	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
19/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
31/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
11/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L

Basingstoke

LLWDLWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/09	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
19/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-4	–	–	L
22/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Havant and W vs Basingstoke?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Havant and W win (42%). Probabilities: Havant and W 42%, draw 26%, Basingstoke 32%.

How many goals are expected in Havant and W vs Basingstoke?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Havant and W 1.62 · Basingstoke 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Havant and W vs Basingstoke?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.