Football · England Southern Premier League South · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Berkhamsted vs Sholing

Team pages: Berkhamsted · Sholing

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Berkhamsted1.4

Sholing1.21

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Berkhamsted Draw Sholing

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Berkhamsted 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Sholing 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Berkhamsted 0–2–1 Sholing (3 last)

Sholing2-0Berkhamsted
Sholing1-1Berkhamsted
Berkhamsted1-1Sholing

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Berkhamsted 1541 · Sholing 1516

	Berkhamsted	Draw	Sholing
Our model	40%	29%	31%
Market	42%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Berkhamsted	Sholing
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.5	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.60

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +12’	2.15	3.60	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Berkhamsted 0–2–1 Sholing

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League South	Sholing	2-0 HT 0-0	Berkhamsted
24/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Sholing	1-1	Berkhamsted
15/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Berkhamsted	1-1	Sholing

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Uxbridge	11	8	2	1	23	8	26
3	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	7	3	3	25	15	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	7	2	3	26	14	23
6	Chichester City	13	7	1	5	23	21	22
7	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	5	4	3	25	18	19
9	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	5	3	3	20	9	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	5	3	5	19	17	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	5	1	6	15	17	16
13	Basingstoke	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	4	2	7	13	27	14
15	Yate Town	12	3	4	5	16	25	13
16	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	13
17	Sholing	11	3	3	5	13	17	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	13	2	3	8	18	26	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Berkhamsted	Sholing
Chichester City	1-3 L	2-3 L
Yate Town	3-0 W	1-1 D
Hanwell Town	1-0 W	0-0 D
Poole Town	2-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Berkhamsted

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
10/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
29/09	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
22/09	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-2	1-2	1	4	L
15/09	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/09	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
31/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Sholing

WDLLWLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
13/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-3	3	4	L
10/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Berkhamsted vs Sholing?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Berkhamsted win (41%). Probabilities: Berkhamsted 41%, draw 27%, Sholing 32%.

How many goals are expected in Berkhamsted vs Sholing?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Berkhamsted 1.4 · Sholing 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Berkhamsted vs Sholing?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.