Football · England Southern Premier League South · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester

Team pages: Plymouth Parkway · Gloucester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Plymouth Parkway1.61

Gloucester1.48

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Plymouth Parkway Draw Gloucester

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Plymouth Parkway 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDLWL

Gloucester 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLDLDW

Head-to-head

Plymouth Parkway 2–1–3 Gloucester (6 last)

Gloucester1-1Plymouth Parkway
Gloucester3-0Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth Parkway2-1Gloucester
Plymouth Parkway6-0Gloucester
Gloucester3-2Plymouth Parkway
Gloucester3-1Plymouth Parkway

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plymouth Parkway 1553 · Gloucester 1521

	Plymouth Parkway	Draw	Gloucester
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gloucester: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plymouth Parkway	Gloucester
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.5	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.75

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:07 +4’	2.20	3.75	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Plymouth Parkway 2–1–3 Gloucester

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	1-1 HT 0-1	Plymouth Parkway
28/03/26 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	3-0	Plymouth Parkway
16/08/25 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	2-1	Gloucester
21/12/24 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	6-0	Gloucester
13/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	3-2 HT 2-0	Plymouth Parkway
23/09/18 England FA Cup Qualification	Gloucester	3-1	Plymouth Parkway

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Uxbridge	11	8	2	1	23	8	26
3	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	7	3	3	25	15	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	7	2	3	26	14	23
6	Chichester City	13	7	1	5	23	21	22
7	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	5	4	3	25	18	19
9	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	5	3	3	20	9	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	5	3	5	19	17	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	5	1	6	15	17	16
13	Basingstoke	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	4	2	7	13	27	14
15	Yate Town	12	3	4	5	16	25	13
16	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	13
17	Sholing	11	3	3	5	13	17	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	13	2	3	8	18	26	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plymouth Parkway	Gloucester
Basingstoke	0-2 L	1-1 D
Wimborne Town	2-1 W	1-1 D
Evesham United	3-1 W	1-2 L
Havant and W	2-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Plymouth Parkway (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plymouth Parkway

LWWWWWDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
10/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
22/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L

Gloucester

LLDWDLDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/09	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-5	5	3	L
12/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plymouth Parkway win (40%). Probabilities: Plymouth Parkway 40%, draw 25%, Gloucester 35%.

How many goals are expected in Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Plymouth Parkway 1.61 · Gloucester 1.48), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.