Football · England Southern Premier League South · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Bath City vs Poole Town

Team pages: Bath City · Poole Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Bath City1.38

Poole Town1.14

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Bath City Draw Poole Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Bath City 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWLWWW

Poole Town 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Bath City 4–1–1 Poole Town (6 last)

Poole Town0-4Bath City
Bath City1-0Poole Town
Bath City3-0Poole Town
Poole Town1-0Bath City
Poole Town0-2Bath City
Bath City1-1Poole Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bath City 1547 · Poole Town 1568

	Bath City	Draw	Poole Town
Our model	41%	29%	30%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bath City: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bath City	Poole Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 2.7	4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
22:03 +34’	2.10	3.50	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bath City 4–1–1 Poole Town

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/03/18 England National League South	Poole Town	0-4 HT 0-1	Bath City
26/08/17 England National League South	Bath City	1-0 HT 1-0	Poole Town
17/04/17 England National League South	Bath City	3-0 HT 1-0	Poole Town
29/08/16 England National League South	Poole Town	1-0 HT 0-0	Bath City
30/09/14 England FA Cup Qualification	Poole Town	0-2	Bath City
27/09/14 England FA Cup Qualification	Bath City	1-1	Poole Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	12	9	2	1	25	8	29
2	Poole Town	13	9	1	3	24	15	28
3	Hanworth Villa	14	8	3	3	27	16	27
4	Plymouth Parkway	13	8	2	3	27	14	26
5	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	26
6	Chichester City	14	7	1	6	24	23	22
7	Gosport Borough	14	6	3	5	22	18	21
8	Chertsey Town	13	5	5	3	27	20	20
9	Wimborne Town	12	5	4	3	20	9	19
10	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	19
11	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
12	Berkhamsted	13	5	2	6	16	18	17
13	Basingstoke	14	4	3	7	21	27	15
14	Hanwell Town	12	3	5	4	16	15	14
15	Yate Town	13	3	5	5	16	25	14
16	Bracknell Town	14	4	2	8	14	30	14
17	Sholing	12	3	4	5	14	18	13
18	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	13
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	11
20	Gloucester	11	2	4	5	15	19	10
21	Havant and W	14	2	3	9	19	32	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bath City	Poole Town
Havant and W	1-0 W	1-0 W
Evesham United	2-0 W	3-1 W
Gosport Borough	1-2 L	3-1 W
Chippenham Town	2-0 W	4-1 W
Basingstoke	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Poole Town (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bath City

DLLWWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	0	0	W
17/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
13/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
10/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/09	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D

Poole Town

LWWLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/10	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
07/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
03/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
31/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bath City vs Poole Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bath City win (42%). Probabilities: Bath City 42%, draw 27%, Poole Town 31%.

How many goals are expected in Bath City vs Poole Town?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Bath City 1.38 · Poole Town 1.14), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bath City vs Poole Town?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.