Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Three Bridges vs Enfield Town

Team pages: Three Bridges · Enfield Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

Three Bridges1.53

Enfield Town2.59

1X2

20% 21% 59%

Three Bridges Draw Enfield Town

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Three Bridges 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Enfield Town 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Three Bridges 1460 · Enfield Town 1594

	Three Bridges	Draw	Enfield Town
Our model	21%	19%	60%
Market	20%	21%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 4.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enfield Town (rating 1460 vs 1594).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Three Bridges	Enfield Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.8	2.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	67/17/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	1.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.20

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.95

2 (-1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.65 → 1.53▼	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:28 +4’	3.70	4.20	1.65
18:32 +2’	4.50▲	4.20	1.53▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	11	9	0	2	30	13	27
2	Lewes	12	8	1	3	19	13	25
3	Welling	11	8	0	3	20	10	24
4	Dartford	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
5	Carshalton Ath	13	7	0	6	19	22	21
6	Ramsgate	12	6	1	5	27	17	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	Burgess Hill Town	10	4	5	1	18	11	17
9	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
10	Dulwich	10	5	1	4	18	14	16
11	Chatham Town	9	5	0	4	19	13	15
12	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
13	Cheshunt	11	3	5	3	11	14	14
14	Wingate & Finchley	10	4	2	4	16	20	14
15	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
16	Aveley	11	3	2	6	18	19	11
17	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
18	AFC Whyteleafe	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
19	Maldon Tiptree FC	12	3	0	9	15	33	9
20	Three Bridges	11	2	2	7	20	31	8
21	Whitehawk	11	1	2	8	11	26	5
22	Stanway Rovers	10	1	1	8	8	26	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Three Bridges	Enfield Town
Stanway Rovers	3-1 W	2-1 W
Whitehawk	2-3 L	5-1 W
Carshalton Ath	3-2 W	2-1 W
Dulwich	2-2 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Enfield Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Three Bridges

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
15/09	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-2	7	2	D
22/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-5	–	–	L
15/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
11/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L

Enfield Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
06/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
26/09	Hanwell Town England FA Trophy	–	4-2	–	–	W
15/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
12/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	4-1	5	1	W
29/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	3-1	5-1	1	3	W
22/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Three Bridges vs Enfield Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Enfield Town win (59%). Probabilities: Three Bridges 20%, draw 21%, Enfield Town 59%.

How many goals are expected in Three Bridges vs Enfield Town?

The model expects 4.12 goals (Three Bridges 1.53 · Enfield Town 2.59), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Three Bridges vs Enfield Town?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.