Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Cheshunt vs Chatham Town

Team pages: Cheshunt · Chatham Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Cheshunt1.35

Chatham Town1.69

1X2

30% 25% 45%

Cheshunt Draw Chatham Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cheshunt 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWWDLL

Chatham Town 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Cheshunt 0–6 Chatham Town (6 last)

Cheshunt0-4Chatham Town
Chatham Town1-0Cheshunt
Chatham Town4-1Cheshunt
Cheshunt0-1Chatham Town
Chatham Town3-2Cheshunt
Cheshunt1-2Chatham Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cheshunt 1459 · Chatham Town 1512

	Cheshunt	Draw	Chatham Town
Our model	30%	26%	44%
Market	30%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chatham Town (rating 1459 vs 1512).
H2H favours Chatham Town: 6-0-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cheshunt	Chatham Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.3	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.60

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:18 +15’	2.90	3.60	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheshunt 0–0–6 Chatham Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	0-4	Chatham Town
16/08/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Chatham Town	1-0	Cheshunt
01/03/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Chatham Town	4-1	Cheshunt
10/12/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	0-1 HT 0-1	Chatham Town
13/01/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Chatham Town	3-2 HT 0-0	Cheshunt
19/08/23 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	1-2	Chatham Town

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	13	10	1	2	37	16	31
2	Welling	14	10	0	4	27	15	30
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Eastbourne Borough	12	8	1	3	23	12	25
5	Dartford	13	8	0	5	19	17	24
6	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	29	17	22
7	Carshalton Ath	15	7	1	7	23	28	22
8	Chatham Town	13	7	0	6	26	20	21
9	Dulwich	14	6	3	5	23	22	21
10	St Albans	10	6	2	2	21	14	20
11	Burgess Hill Town	13	5	5	3	24	20	20
12	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24	23	20
13	Brentwood Town	12	5	0	7	22	21	15
14	Leatherhead	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
15	AFC Whyteleafe	14	4	3	7	22	25	15
16	Cheshunt	14	3	6	5	14	22	15
17	Aveley	13	4	2	7	20	21	14
18	Maldon Tiptree FC	16	4	2	10	20	38	14
19	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	23	36	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	2	1	10	12	32	7
22	Whitehawk	14	1	3	10	13	34	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cheshunt	Chatham Town
Brentwood Town	2-4 L	3-0 W
Aveley	2-1 W	0-1 L
Lewes	3-1 W	3-2 W
Welling	0-2 L	3-2 W
Eastbourne Borough	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chatham Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cheshunt

DLLWDWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-4	–	–	L
24/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-1	10	5	D
10/10	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-1	7	0	W
26/09	Cray Wanderers England FA Trophy	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/09	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-1	5	6	D

Chatham Town

LLWLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	3	5	L
24/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
20/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	6	0	W
17/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	Berkhamsted England FA Trophy	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
29/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cheshunt vs Chatham Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chatham Town win (45%). Probabilities: Cheshunt 30%, draw 25%, Chatham Town 45%.

How many goals are expected in Cheshunt vs Chatham Town?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Cheshunt 1.35 · Chatham Town 1.69), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cheshunt vs Chatham Town?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.