Football · England Southern Premier League South · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Bracknell Town vs Hanworth Villa

Team pages: Bracknell Town · Hanworth Villa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Bracknell Town1.37

Hanworth Villa1.61

1X2

32% 26% 43%

Bracknell Town Draw Hanworth Villa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bracknell Town 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLLWDL

Hanworth Villa 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWLWWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bracknell Town 1468 · Hanworth Villa 1552

	Bracknell Town	Draw	Hanworth Villa
Our model	31%	26%	42%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanworth Villa (rating 1468 vs 1552).
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bracknell Town	Hanworth Villa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	1.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 9	2.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +4’	2.80	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
2	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
3	Plymouth Parkway	10	6	2	2	24	11	20
4	Hanworth Villa	10	6	1	3	18	11	19
5	Bath City	10	5	2	3	14	10	17
6	Frome Town	11	4	4	3	18	14	16
7	Chichester City	10	5	1	4	17	17	16
8	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
9	Wimborne Town	9	4	3	2	16	7	15
10	Chertsey Town	10	4	3	3	22	17	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24	24	13
13	Evesham United	10	4	1	5	14	18	13
14	Basingstoke	10	3	3	4	18	17	12
15	Yate Town	10	3	3	4	13	21	12
16	Sholing	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
17	Bracknell Town	10	3	2	5	11	19	11
18	Hanwell Town	9	2	4	3	9	11	10
19	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
20	Chippenham Town	9	2	2	5	9	18	8
21	Havant and W	10	1	2	7	12	22	5
22	Malvern Town	10	1	2	7	14	29	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bracknell Town	Hanworth Villa
Gosport Borough	1-1 D	1-0 W
Wimborne Town	0-2 L	0-0 D
Yate Town	1-2 L	2-3 L
Gloucester	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hanworth Villa (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bracknell Town

LWDLWLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
19/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-7	–	–	L

Hanworth Villa

WWLWDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
22/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bracknell Town vs Hanworth Villa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hanworth Villa win (43%). Probabilities: Bracknell Town 32%, draw 26%, Hanworth Villa 43%.

How many goals are expected in Bracknell Town vs Hanworth Villa?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Bracknell Town 1.37 · Hanworth Villa 1.61), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bracknell Town vs Hanworth Villa?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.