Football · England Southern Premier League South · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa

Team pages: Chichester City · Hanworth Villa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Chichester City1.66

Hanworth Villa1.87

1X2

34% 24% 42%

Chichester City Draw Hanworth Villa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Chichester City 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLWWLW

Hanworth Villa 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLWDD

Head-to-head

Chichester City 0–1 Hanworth Villa (1 last)

Hanworth Villa2-1Chichester City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chichester City 1571 · Hanworth Villa 1532

	Chichester City	Draw	Hanworth Villa
Our model	34%	24%	42%
Market	33%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chichester City	Hanworth Villa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	2.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	75/0/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	2.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:25 +6’	2.70	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chichester City 0–0–1 Hanworth Villa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League South	Hanworth Villa	2-1 HT 2-0	Chichester City

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Uxbridge	11	8	2	1	23	8	26
3	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	7	3	3	25	15	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	7	2	3	26	14	23
6	Chichester City	13	7	1	5	23	21	22
7	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	5	4	3	25	18	19
9	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	5	3	3	20	9	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	5	3	5	19	17	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	5	1	6	15	17	16
13	Basingstoke	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	4	2	7	13	27	14
15	Yate Town	12	3	4	5	16	25	13
16	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	13
17	Sholing	11	3	3	5	13	17	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	13	2	3	8	18	26	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chichester City	Hanworth Villa
Berkhamsted	3-1 W	2-1 W
Bracknell Town	0-1 L	4-1 W
Chertsey Town	2-2 D	4-1 W
Havant and W	3-2 W	2-2 D
Chippenham Town	4-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Chichester City (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chichester City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
17/10	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/10	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	0-1	3-2	6	4	W
10/10	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
22/09	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-5	4	1	L
31/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-0	6	5	W
22/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W

Hanworth Villa

WDWLWWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
17/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
13/10	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	4-1	2	8	W
10/10	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
22/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hanworth Villa win (42%). Probabilities: Chichester City 34%, draw 24%, Hanworth Villa 42%.

How many goals are expected in Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Chichester City 1.66 · Hanworth Villa 1.87), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.