Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Racing Club Warwick vs Peterborough Sports
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Racing Club Warwick1.11
Peterborough Sports1.67
1X2
Racing Club Warwick
Draw
Peterborough Sports
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club Warwick
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Peterborough Sports
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club Warwick 1526 · Peterborough Sports 1433
| Racing Club Warwick | Draw | Peterborough Sports | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 27% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club Warwick (rating 1526 vs 1433).
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club Warwick | Peterborough Sports | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.7 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 3.5 / 0.5 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvechurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anstey Nomads | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bishop's Stortford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bromsgrove | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bury Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halesowen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hitchin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kettering | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leamington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leighton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leiston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Needham Market | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterborough Sports | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Club Warwick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Bedford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Redditch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rushall Olympic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stamford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stourbridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stratford Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worcester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club Warwick
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Coleshill Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/07 | Pershore Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/03 | Corby England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/02 | Boldmere St Michaels England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 01/01 | Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/12 | Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/11 | St Neots Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/10 | Lichfield City England Northern League Division One |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
Peterborough Sports
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Newport Pagnell Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Peterborough Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Blackstones Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Hereford FC England National League North |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Worksop England National League North |
0-6 | 0-8 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | AFC Telford England National League North |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Kings Lynn Town England National League North |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 28/03 | Leamington England National League North |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club Warwick vs Peterborough Sports?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Peterborough Sports win (50%). Probabilities: Racing Club Warwick 25%, draw 26%, Peterborough Sports 50%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club Warwick vs Peterborough Sports?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Racing Club Warwick 1.11 · Peterborough Sports 1.67), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club Warwick vs Peterborough Sports?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.