Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge

Team pages: Peterborough Sports · Stourbridge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Peterborough Sports1.51

Stourbridge1.19

1X2

44% 26% 29%

Peterborough Sports Draw Stourbridge

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Peterborough Sports 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLDWLLDL

Stourbridge 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWWLDLW

Head-to-head

Peterborough Sports 2–2–1 Stourbridge (5 last)

Stourbridge1-1Peterborough Sports
Peterborough Sports8-4Stourbridge
Stourbridge1-6Peterborough Sports
Peterborough Sports2-2Stourbridge
Peterborough Sports1-3Stourbridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterborough Sports 1444 · Stourbridge 1496

	Peterborough Sports	Draw	Stourbridge
Our model	44%	28%	29%
Market	45%	25%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stourbridge (rating 1444 vs 1496).
H2H favours Peterborough Sports: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Peterborough Sports	Stourbridge
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	33/17/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.9	3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.6	1.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +3’	2.00	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough Sports 2–2–1 Stourbridge

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/04/22 England Southern Premier League Central	Stourbridge	1-1 HT 1-1	Peterborough Sports
28/08/21 England Southern Premier League Central	Peterborough Sports	8-4	Stourbridge
01/02/20 England Southern Premier League Central	Stourbridge	1-6 HT 1-2	Peterborough Sports
31/08/19 England Southern Premier League Central	Peterborough Sports	2-2	Stourbridge
03/09/16 England FA Cup Qualification	Peterborough Sports	1-3	Stourbridge

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Bromsgrove	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	Bury Town	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
4	Leiston	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	Banbury	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Kettering	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
7	Stourbridge	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
8	Alvechurch	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
9	Needham Market	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
10	Rushall Olympic	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Anstey Nomads	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
11	Leighton Town	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
13	Redditch	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
13	Stratford Town	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
15	Racing Club Warwick	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	Leamington	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
17	Worcester City	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
18	Bishop's Stortford	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
18	Peterborough Sports	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
20	Halesowen	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
21	Hitchin	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
22	Stamford	2	0	0	2	0	3	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Peterborough Sports

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	0-2	4	0	L
08/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/07	Newport Pagnell Town Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
22/07	Peterborough Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
11/07	Blackstones Club Friendly List	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
25/04	Hereford FC England National League North	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
18/04	Worksop England National League North	0-6	0-8	1	2	L
11/04	AFC Telford England National League North	1-1	2-3	1	4	L
06/04	Oxford City England National League North	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
03/04	Kings Lynn Town England National League North	1-0	2-2	9	8	D

Stourbridge

DDLWWWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
01/08	Kidderminster Club Friendly List	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
28/07	Halesowen UK Friendlies	2-2	3-3	2	1	D
25/07	Malvern Town Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/07	Stourport Swifts Club Friendly List	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/04	Royston Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-0	–	–	W
15/04	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
11/04	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/04	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterborough Sports win (44%). Probabilities: Peterborough Sports 44%, draw 26%, Stourbridge 29%.

How many goals are expected in Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Peterborough Sports 1.51 · Stourbridge 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.