Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Leamington vs Kettering
Team pages: Leamington · Kettering
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Leamington1.4
Kettering1.3
1X2
Leamington
Draw
Kettering
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leamington
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Kettering
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leamington
2–2–2
Kettering
(6 last)
- Kettering0-0Leamington
- Leamington2-1Kettering
- Kettering3-0Leamington
- Leamington1-0Kettering
- Kettering1-1Leamington
- Leamington0-4Kettering
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leamington 1496 · Kettering 1512
| Leamington | Draw | Kettering | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 40% | 25% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leamington | Kettering | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 0/71/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.7 | 3.8 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leamington 2–2–2 Kettering
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Kettering | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leamington |
| 07/11/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Leamington | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Kettering |
| 10/04/23 England National League North | Kettering | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Leamington |
| 13/09/22 England National League North | Leamington | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kettering |
| 05/02/22 England National League North | Kettering | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Leamington |
| 18/12/21 England National League North | Leamington | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Kettering |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Leiston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Banbury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kettering | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Rushall Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Leighton Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Redditch | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Stratford Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Bishop's Stortford | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Peterborough Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 | Hitchin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leamington
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Yate Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Guernsey Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | Rugby Borough Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Brackley UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Walsall UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 07/07 | Sutton Coldfield UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Lye Town Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Buxton England National League North |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
Kettering
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Bedford Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Hemel Hempstead Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 14/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leamington vs Kettering?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leamington win (39%). Probabilities: Leamington 39%, draw 26%, Kettering 34%.
How many goals are expected in Leamington vs Kettering?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Leamington 1.4 · Kettering 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Leamington vs Kettering?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.