Prediction: Stamford vs Racing Club Warwick

Team pages: Stamford · Racing Club Warwick

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Stamford1.23
Racing Club Warwick1.26
1X2
36% 27% 37%
Stamford Draw Racing Club Warwick
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stamford 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
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Racing Club Warwick 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stamford 1446 · Racing Club Warwick 1501
StamfordDrawRacing Club Warwick
Our model34%30%36%
Market37%25%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club Warwick (rating 1446 vs 1501).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StamfordRacing Club Warwick
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.61.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/14/57%11/78/11%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.31.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 04.3 / 0.5

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Real Bedford 2200 626
2 Bromsgrove 2200 526
3 Bury Town 2200 206
4 Leiston 2110 424
5 Banbury 2110 214
5 Kettering 2110 214
7 Stourbridge 1100 203
8 Alvechurch 2101 323
9 Needham Market 2101 443
10 Rushall Olympic 2101 333
11 Anstey Nomads 2020 222
11 Leighton Town 2020 222
13 Redditch 2020 112
13 Stratford Town 2020 112
15 Racing Club Warwick 2011 231
16 Leamington 2011 351
17 Worcester City 2011 241
18 Bishop's Stortford 2011 131
18 Peterborough Sports 2011 131
20 Halesowen 1001 010
21 Hitchin 2002 250
22 Stamford 2002 030

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStamfordRacing Club Warwick
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1-1 D 0-1 L
Banbury 4-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stamford (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stamford

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Bury Town
England Southern Premier League Central
0-1 L
08/08 Stourbridge
England Southern Premier League Central
0-1 0-2 31 L
01/08 Shepshed Dynamo
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-2 L
25/07 Bourne Town
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-5 L
21/07 Grantham
Club Friendly List
0-3 L
18/07 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-1 D
08/07 Blackstones
Club Friendly List
0-1 2-2 D
25/04 Harborough Town
England Southern Premier League Central
0-0 D
18/04 Royston Town
England Southern Premier League Central
1-0 3-0 43 W
14/04 Banbury
England Southern Premier League Central
1-0 4-0 38 W

Racing Club Warwick

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Banbury
England Southern Premier League Central
1-1 1-2 41 L
08/08 Peterborough Sports
England Southern Premier League Central
1-1 D
01/08 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
25/07 Coleshill Town
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-2 D
09/07 Pershore
Club Friendly List
1-1 3-2 W
28/04 Carlton Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 38 D
25/03 Corby
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-1 25 D
28/02 Boldmere St Michaels
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-2 69 L
01/01 Rugby Borough
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-1 73 W
27/12 Anstey Nomads
England Northern League Division One
1-1 3-2 13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stamford vs Racing Club Warwick?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing Club Warwick win (37%). Probabilities: Stamford 36%, draw 27%, Racing Club Warwick 37%.

How many goals are expected in Stamford vs Racing Club Warwick?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Stamford 1.23 · Racing Club Warwick 1.26), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stamford vs Racing Club Warwick?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.