Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Stratford Town vs Bury Town

Team pages: Stratford Town · Bury Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Stratford Town1.39

Bury Town1.06

1X2

44% 27% 28%

Stratford Town Draw Bury Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Stratford Town 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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Bury Town 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Stratford Town 1–1 Bury Town (2 last)

Stratford Town0-2Bury Town
Bury Town1-2Stratford Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stratford Town 1544 · Bury Town 1529

	Stratford Town	Draw	Bury Town
Our model	43%	29%	27%
Market	45%	26%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stratford Town	Bury Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.7	2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.50

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +4’	2.00	3.50	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stratford Town 1–0–1 Bury Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	0-2 HT 0-1	Bury Town
29/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bury Town	1-2	Stratford Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Bromsgrove	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	Bury Town	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
4	Leiston	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	Banbury	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Kettering	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
7	Stourbridge	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
8	Alvechurch	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
9	Needham Market	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
10	Rushall Olympic	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Anstey Nomads	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
11	Leighton Town	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
13	Redditch	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
13	Stratford Town	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
15	Racing Club Warwick	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	Leamington	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
17	Worcester City	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
18	Bishop's Stortford	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
18	Peterborough Sports	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
20	Halesowen	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
21	Hitchin	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
22	Stamford	2	0	0	2	0	3	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stratford Town	Bury Town
Kettering	2-0 W	0-1 L
Stamford	4-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stratford Town (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Stratford Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
21/07	Brackley UK Friendlies	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
25/04	St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/04	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/04	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/03	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
24/03	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
21/03	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W

Bury Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/07	Cambridge City Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
17/07	Ipswich Wanderers Club Friendly List	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/04	Barwell England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
11/04	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
06/04	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/04	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/03	Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stratford Town vs Bury Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stratford Town win (44%). Probabilities: Stratford Town 44%, draw 27%, Bury Town 28%.

How many goals are expected in Stratford Town vs Bury Town?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Stratford Town 1.39 · Bury Town 1.06), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stratford Town vs Bury Town?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.