Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Bromsgrove vs Anstey Nomads
Team pages: Bromsgrove · Anstey Nomads
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Bromsgrove1.62
Anstey Nomads1.23
1X2
Bromsgrove
Draw
Anstey Nomads
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bromsgrove
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Anstey Nomads
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bromsgrove 1601 · Anstey Nomads 1578
| Bromsgrove | Draw | Anstey Nomads | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bromsgrove | Anstey Nomads | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.9 | 2.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 63/25/13% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 3.3 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Leiston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Banbury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kettering | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Rushall Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Leighton Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Redditch | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Stratford Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Bishop's Stortford | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Peterborough Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 | Hitchin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bromsgrove
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Hereford FC Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Malvern Town Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Trefelin BGC Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Bedworth Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Rugby Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Sporting Khalsa Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Stourport Swifts Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Anstey Nomads
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Hebburn Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Sherwood Colliery Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Clipstone Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 24/03 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
4-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Bourne Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/03 | Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 21/02 | Loughborough University England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/01 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bromsgrove vs Anstey Nomads?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bromsgrove win (46%). Probabilities: Bromsgrove 46%, draw 26%, Anstey Nomads 29%.
How many goals are expected in Bromsgrove vs Anstey Nomads?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Bromsgrove 1.62 · Anstey Nomads 1.23), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bromsgrove vs Anstey Nomads?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.