Prediction: Leamington vs Anstey Nomads

Team pages: Leamington · Anstey Nomads

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Leamington1.99
Anstey Nomads1.35
1X2
51% 24% 25%
Leamington Draw Anstey Nomads
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leamington 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWDDLDWL
Anstey Nomads 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
LDDWWWDWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leamington 1507 · Anstey Nomads 1571
LeamingtonDrawAnstey Nomads
Our model51%24%25%
Market51%24%25%
Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anstey Nomads (rating 1507 vs 1571).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LeamingtonAnstey Nomads
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 22.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.81.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.13 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 03.7 / 0.4

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Real Bedford 1100 423
2 Bromsgrove 1100 313
3 Stourbridge 1100 203
4 Rushall Olympic 1100 213
5 Bury Town 1100 103
5 Kettering 1100 103
7 Anstey Nomads 1010 111
7 Leighton Town 1010 111
7 Leiston 1010 111
7 Peterborough Sports 1010 111
7 Racing Club Warwick 1010 111
7 Redditch 1010 111
7 Stratford Town 1010 111
7 Worcester City 1010 111
15 Banbury 1010 001
15 Bishop's Stortford 1010 001
17 Hitchin 1001 120
18 Alvechurch 1001 010
18 Halesowen 1001 010
20 Leamington 1001 240
21 Needham Market 1001 130
22 Stamford 1001 020

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leamington

LLWWDDLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Real Bedford
England Southern Premier League Central
1-1 2-4 45 L
01/08 Yate Town
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-1 72 W
25/07 Guernsey
Club Friendly List
0-1 2-2 D
21/07 Rugby Borough
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 L
14/07 Brackley
UK Friendlies
1-2 2-2 51 D
11/07 Walsall
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 10 D
07/07 Sutton Coldfield
UK Friendlies
2-0 3-1 21 W
04/07 Lye Town
Club Friendly List
3-0 5-1 W
25/04 Buxton
England National League North
1-2 1-4 01 L
18/04 Kidderminster
England National League North
1-1 2-3 34 L

Anstey Nomads

LDDWWWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Leiston
England Southern Premier League Central
1-0 1-1 55 D
25/07 Hebburn Town
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-0 W
11/07 Sherwood Colliery
Club Friendly List
2-0 4-0 W
07/07 Clipstone
Club Friendly List
2-2 3-3 D
24/03 Carlton Town
England Northern League Division One
4-0 6-0 94 W
17/03 Bourne Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 84 W
10/03 Mickleover Sports
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-1 104 W
21/02 Loughborough University
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 73 D
20/01 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
England Northern League Division One
1-2 2-2 38 D
13/01 Halifax
England FA Trophy
0-0 0-4 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leamington vs Anstey Nomads?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leamington win (51%). Probabilities: Leamington 51%, draw 24%, Anstey Nomads 25%.

How many goals are expected in Leamington vs Anstey Nomads?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Leamington 1.99 · Anstey Nomads 1.35), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Leamington vs Anstey Nomads?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.