Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Anstey Nomads vs Leighton Town
Team pages: Anstey Nomads · Leighton Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Anstey Nomads1.47
Leighton Town1.17
1X2
Anstey Nomads
Draw
Leighton Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Anstey Nomads
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Leighton Town
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anstey Nomads 1592 · Leighton Town 1559
| Anstey Nomads | Draw | Leighton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Anstey Nomads | Leighton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/33/11% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 8 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Kettering | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Bromsgrove | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Banbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Redditch | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Halesowen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Leamington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Peterborough Sports | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Bishop's Stortford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anstey Nomads
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Hebburn Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Sherwood Colliery Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Clipstone Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 24/03 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
4-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Bourne Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/03 | Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 21/02 | Loughborough University England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Leighton Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/08 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Biggleswade Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Wellingborough Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Stotfold Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/03 | Northwood England Southern League Div One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | Barton Rovers England Southern League Div One |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/03 | Biggleswade FC England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 24/01 | Aylesbury United England Southern League Div One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anstey Nomads vs Leighton Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Anstey Nomads win (43%). Probabilities: Anstey Nomads 43%, draw 27%, Leighton Town 29%.
How many goals are expected in Anstey Nomads vs Leighton Town?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Anstey Nomads 1.47 · Leighton Town 1.17), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Anstey Nomads vs Leighton Town?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.